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比稀土狠10倍!中国攥140万吨王牌,2030年电费或降为每度0.05元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-27 15:00
Core Insights - China holds a significant advantage in the global rare earth market, controlling 34%-38% of the resources and over 90% of the processing capabilities, making it difficult for other countries, especially the US, to establish their own production lines in a short time frame [1] - Thorium, previously considered a waste product from rare earth mining, is now recognized as a valuable energy resource, with China possessing 74% of the world's known thorium reserves, which is nearly double the proportion of rare earths [3] - The energy potential of thorium is substantial, with 1 ton of thorium capable of producing as much electricity as 350,000 tons of coal, and China's thorium reserves could sustain energy needs for over a thousand years [3][5] Thorium Technology and Applications - China has developed a unique 2 MW thorium-based molten salt reactor, which has been operational at full power since June of last year, marking a significant technological advancement in the field [5] - The thorium reactor technology is distinct from traditional nuclear power, requiring less water for cooling and allowing for continuous operation without the need for frequent shutdowns for fuel replacement, thus enhancing efficiency [5] - The application of thorium technology is extending to national defense, with indications that China's third aircraft carrier may utilize thorium-based molten salt reactor technology, providing a compact and powerful energy source [5] Economic and Environmental Impact - The introduction of thorium energy is expected to significantly reduce electricity costs for consumers and industries, with projections suggesting a drop to 0.05 yuan per kilowatt-hour by 2030 [7] - Transitioning to thorium could lead to substantial savings on energy imports, potentially saving the equivalent of building three Three Gorges Dams annually, thereby enhancing China's energy security [8] - The energy sector is poised for transformation, with plans for a 10 MW thorium power station in Wuwei, which could replace a significant portion of coal usage, contributing to carbon reduction goals [10] Future Prospects - Thorium is anticipated to revolutionize multiple industries, including energy, new energy vehicles, and shipping, with the potential to produce green hydrogen and reduce carbon emissions in maritime transport [10] - The shift from viewing thorium as waste to recognizing it as a strategic resource reflects China's commitment to long-term energy security and technological advancement [11][13]