Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the tungsten industry, predicting that the stock price will outperform the Shanghai Composite Index by 15% or more within the next six months [33]. Core Insights - The Bakuta tungsten mine is expected to begin commercial production in Q2 2025, contributing significantly to global tungsten supply [4][6]. - The mine has favorable geological conditions and is one of the largest tungsten resources globally, with an estimated resource of 109.5 million tons containing 0.211% WO3 [3][11]. - The global tungsten supply has been declining over the past six years, and the Bakuta mine's phase two production is expected to contribute 13% to global output by 2028 [6][28]. Summary by Sections Bakuta Tungsten Mine Overview - The Bakuta tungsten mine is located in Kazakhstan and is one of the largest open-pit tungsten mines globally, with a significant resource endowment [3][11]. - The mine's estimated resources include 10.95 million tons of ore, translating to approximately 231,500 tons of WO3 [3][11]. Production Timeline - Phase one of the Bakuta project is set to start commercial production in Q2 2025, with a target capacity of 3.3 million tons of tungsten ore per year [4][20]. - Phase two is planned for Q1 2027, which will increase production capacity to 4.95 million tons per year [4][20]. Cost Advantages - The Bakuta mine benefits from lower operational costs due to its open-pit nature and favorable local conditions for land use, water, electricity, and labor compared to other major tungsten-producing countries [23][24]. - The estimated operational cash cost for 2025 is projected to be approximately RMB 463.2 million, with a unit cost of RMB 156 per ton of ore [23][24]. Global Supply Dynamics - Global tungsten production is expected to remain stable, with a slight increase in 2024, but the Bakuta mine's contribution will be crucial as it ramps up production [6][28]. - The report highlights that China's tungsten production dominates the market, accounting for about 83% of global output [28]. Beneficiary Companies - Companies expected to benefit from the Bakuta tungsten mine's production include Zhangyuan Tungsten, Zhongtung High-tech, and Xiamen Tungsten, among others [7][30].