铅酸与锂电双轮驱动

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骆驼股份:一季报预增超预期,铅酸电池业务进一步向好-20250418
Xinda Securities· 2025-04-18 08:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the report indicates a positive outlook based on the performance metrics and growth expectations [1]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of CNY 15.59 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.8%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be CNY 610 million, a 7.3% increase year-on-year [1]. - For the first quarter of 2025, the company anticipates a net profit between CNY 220 million and CNY 250 million, reflecting a significant increase of 43.2% to 63.5% compared to the previous year [1][4]. - The growth in the lead-acid battery business is a key driver for the company's performance, with steady sales increases and improved profitability from recycled lead-acid batteries [4]. Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for the years 2022 to 2026 is projected as follows: CNY 134.3 billion (2022), CNY 140.8 billion (2023), CNY 155.9 billion (2024), CNY 178.8 billion (2025), and CNY 196.1 billion (2026), with respective growth rates of 8.2%, 4.9%, 10.7%, 14.7%, and 9.7% [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to grow from CNY 4.7 billion in 2022 to CNY 12.9 billion in 2026, with growth rates of -43.5% (2022), 21.8% (2023), 7.1% (2024), 54.4% (2025), and 36.6% (2026) [3]. - The gross profit margin is expected to improve from 14.2% in 2022 to 16.5% in 2026, indicating enhanced operational efficiency [3]. Business Strategy and Product Development - The company is focusing on a diversified product matrix that includes low-voltage lead-acid batteries, energy storage batteries, and recycled resource products, catering to various vehicle types [4]. - The dual strategy of maintaining traditional lead-acid battery sales while expanding into lithium battery markets is expected to drive future growth, with significant sales increases in low-voltage lithium batteries [4]. - The company’s investment projects have also seen an increase in fair value, contributing positively to net profit [4].