铅锌矿增储上产
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中金岭南(000060):Q3业绩符合预期,铜冶炼收入增长
Huaan Securities· 2025-11-03 06:44
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 48.459 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.79%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 841 million yuan, up 5.18% year-on-year. In Q3 alone, the revenue was 17.370 billion yuan, an increase of 18.65% year-on-year, with a net profit of 282 million yuan, up 9.51% year-on-year [4] - The prices of copper, lead, and zinc in Q3 2025 were 79,900 yuan/ton, 16,900 yuan/ton, and 22,300 yuan/ton, reflecting year-on-year changes of +6%, -7%, and -5% respectively. The production of refined lead and zinc metals in H1 2025 was 125,400 tons, down 10.11% year-on-year, while the smelting output of copper, lead, and zinc was 447,800 tons, up 5.61% year-on-year. The increase in revenue is primarily attributed to the smelting segment, with copper smelting revenue reaching 20.421 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.33% [5] - The company is accelerating resource accumulation and production at its mining operations, including the large-scale Fankou lead-zinc-silver mine in Asia and several other lead-zinc mines in Guangxi, Australia, and the Dominican Republic. The focus on high-end processing in the smelting segment is expected to enhance product value and optimize profitability [6] Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to the parent company of 1.152 billion yuan, 1.274 billion yuan, and 1.341 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 19, 17, and 16 [7] - Key financial indicators for 2025E include revenue of 62.445 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 4.3%, and a net profit of 1.152 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 6.5% year-on-year [9]