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银行板块已高位回调超11%,揭秘后续走势
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-19 14:25
Core Viewpoint - The banking sector has experienced a significant correction over the past two months, with a cumulative decline of 11.46% since July 10, despite a strong performance earlier in the year, where the sector rose over 21% by July 10 [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - After a five-day decline, the banking sector saw a slight increase of 0.08% on September 19, but major banks like Industrial and Agricultural Bank of China faced notable declines, with the former dropping 1.23% and the latter 1.77% [1]. - The banking sector's performance contrasts sharply with other major indices, such as the CSI 300, which rose over 12.79% during the same period [1]. - The banking sector had previously been a focal point of market attention, with 17 bank stocks reaching historical highs before the recent downturn [2]. Group 2: Factors Influencing the Decline - The recent downturn in bank stocks is attributed to several factors, including a shift in market risk appetite, profit-taking behavior, and the seasonal impact of dividend distributions [4]. - The adjustment period has seen the largest declines in joint-stock banks, with a drop exceeding 15%, while regional banks fell over 11% and state-owned banks decreased by over 4% [3]. Group 3: Shareholder and Management Support - In response to the declining stock prices, several bank shareholders have announced plans to increase their holdings, reflecting confidence in the banks' future growth [6]. - Notable examples include Everbright Bank and Chengdu Bank, where significant share purchases were made by major shareholders [6]. - Additionally, bank executives and board members have also committed to buying shares, indicating a strong belief in the banks' long-term value [7]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the current high dividend yields and low valuations of bank stocks may attract risk-averse investors, positioning the banking sector as a stabilizing force in the market [7]. - The banking industry is expected to transition from a growth-driven model to one focused on quality, enhancing profitability and resilience [7]. - Historical trends indicate that the banking sector often experiences a second wave of growth following periods of strong performance in growth stocks, suggesting potential for future recovery [7].
工商银行股价盘中一度跌逾2%,跌破半年线
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-19 04:04
7月11日以来,银行板块整体呈阶段性下行趋势。以涨势最具代表性的农行为例,该银行股价创下7.55 元的历史新高后,目前已回落至6.7元附近。 每年7月,银行股迎来集中分红期,一些套利资金"分红即走"使得股价短线承压。从信贷需求来看,7-8 月社融、信贷数据低于预期,实体经济融资意愿偏弱,银行资产端扩张动力不足。 北京时间9月18日,美联储宣布降息25个基点,时隔9个月后重启降息。市场预期,国内也存在进一步降 息、降准的空间,这也将使得银行未来息差承压。 此前强势上涨的银行股近段时间回调不少。 9月19日上午,A股银行板块普遍下跌,后又有所回升,上演"V形"反弹。银行指数一度跌近1%后反 弹,截至午盘收涨0.28%。 个股方面,截至午盘收盘,渝农商行(601077.SH)、农业银行(601288.SH)跌幅超1%,郑州银行 (002936.SZ)、工商银行(601398.SH)跌近1%。其中,工行盘中一度跌超2%,近一年来首次跌破半 年线。 近期,也有多家银行股东、董监高宣布出手增持自家银行股票。多家银行在公告中表示,增持计划是基 于对银行长期投资价值的认可,支持银行长期发展。 增持计划对股价有所提振。截至19 ...