银行长期投资价值
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银行业周报:关注银行长期投资价值-20250701
Bank of China Securities· 2025-07-01 06:41
Investment Rating - The report rates the banking sector as "Outperforming the Market" [1] Core Insights - The banking sector has shown a year-to-date increase of 13.49%, ranking second among all industries, with a focus on the investment value of bank stocks [1][12] - The report suggests paying attention to specific banks such as China Merchants Bank, Agricultural Bank of China, and Jiangsu Bank [1] Summary by Sections Banking Sector and Stock Performance - The banking index increased by 0.67% this week, while the Wind All A index rose by 3.56%, indicating that the banking sector underperformed by 2.69 percentage points [12] - Among the 42 A-share banks, 22 saw an increase in stock prices this week [2] - State-owned banks had an average increase of 0.75% with a P/B ratio of 0.71X, while joint-stock banks rose by 1.09% with a P/B of 0.60X [15] - The average increase for city commercial banks was 0.43% with a P/B of 0.71X, while rural commercial banks saw a decline of 1.16% with a P/B of 0.66X [15] Funding Price Situation - The central bank conducted a significant reverse repo operation, injecting 10672 billion into the market this week [3][27] - The overnight SHIBOR rate remained stable at 1.37%, while the 7-day SHIBOR rate increased by 14 basis points to 1.67% [30] - The average rates for overnight and 7-day repo transactions were 1.46% and 1.92%, respectively, with the latter rising by 33 basis points [30] Bond Market Situation - Total financing in the bond market reached 20769.5 billion, with net financing down by 1078.6 billion compared to last week [42] - Local government bonds issuance increased to 6416.4 billion, while national bonds decreased significantly by 3197.8 billion [42] - The yield on 1-year national bonds was 1.35%, down by 1 basis point, while the 10-year yield rose to 1.65%, up by 1 basis point [44] Interbank Certificate of Deposit Market Review - The total issuance of interbank certificates of deposit was 7264 billion, a decrease of 3741 billion from the previous week [53] - The weighted average issuance rate was 1.64%, down by 1 basis point [53]