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敷尔佳(301371):前三季度业绩承压,销售费用投入持续加大:——敷尔佳(301371.SZ)2025年三季报点评
EBSCN· 2025-10-31 05:55
Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [3][5]. Core Views - The company experienced a decline in revenue and net profit in the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue down 11.5% year-on-year to 1.3 billion yuan and net profit down 36.7% to 330 million yuan [1][3]. - The report highlights increased sales expenses and a decrease in gross margin, with the gross margin for the first three quarters down 0.5 percentage points to 81.1% [2][3]. - Due to uncertainties in terminal demand and increasing industry competition, the profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised downwards, with net profit estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 adjusted to 460 million yuan, 509 million yuan, and 556 million yuan respectively [3]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 1.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.5% year-on-year, with a single-quarter revenue of 430 million yuan in Q3, down 17.6% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 81.1%, with quarterly margins of 83.0%, 80.6%, and 80.4% for Q1, Q2, and Q3 respectively [2]. - The operating cash flow for the first three quarters was 240 million yuan, a decrease of 48.5% year-on-year [2]. Profitability and Valuation Metrics - The report provides updated earnings per share (EPS) estimates of 0.89 yuan, 0.98 yuan, and 1.07 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 28, 25, and 23 [3][4]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to decline to 8.04% in 2025, with a gradual increase to 9.0% by 2027 [4][12].