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时报观察 | 多维共振 锂电产业链进入价值制胜新阶段
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-11-12 18:44
Core Insights - The lithium battery industry has experienced a comprehensive recovery since the third quarter, with price stabilization, frequent large orders, and significant performance growth, indicating a notable improvement in industry prosperity [1] - The current recovery in the lithium market is driven by a combination of demand, technology, and policy factors [1] Demand Side - There has been explosive growth in demand, particularly in the electric vehicle sector, with domestic power battery installation reaching 578 GWh from January to October this year, a year-on-year increase of 42.4% [1] - The energy storage sector has shown even more remarkable growth, with global energy storage battery shipments reaching 428 GWh from January to September 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 90.7% [1] - Emerging applications such as low-altitude economy and humanoid robots are opening up a second growth curve for the lithium battery industry [1] Supply Side - The exit of a large number of small and low-quality capacities due to previous years of significant losses has injected momentum into the industry's recovery [1] - The industry has seen a rationalization of capacity expansion, leading to a significant improvement in supply-demand dynamics, with some material capacities showing a tight balance [1] - The rapid increase in industry concentration has led to a consensus among leading companies regarding capacity expansion, suggesting that future supply releases will be more orderly and controllable [1] Technological Development - Continuous technological iteration is enabling stable and long-term industry development, with market-driven forces becoming mainstream in the new energy sector [2] - The focus of downstream lithium battery products has shifted from "usable" to "user-friendly" and "durable," indicating a shift in competitive dimensions from price to comprehensive value throughout the product lifecycle [2] - Leading battery manufacturers such as CATL, BYD, EVE Energy, and Guoxuan High-Tech are accelerating the launch of differentiated flagship products, while various manufacturers are investing in high-pressure density and long-cycle series products [2] - The industry is expected to move towards a new stage of high-quality development centered on technological innovation and value competition, gradually moving away from homogenized competition [2]