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科思股份(300856):业绩阶段性承压,关注后续新产线表现
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-08-21 07:55
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company's performance is under pressure due to slowing demand and increased competition, with projected revenue for 2024 at 2.276 billion (down 5.16% YoY) and net profit at 562 million (down 23.33% YoY) [1] - The company is focusing on consolidating its leading position in the sunscreen market and accelerating the launch of new products while enhancing operational efficiency and cost control [2][3] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 2.06 billion, 2.26 billion, and 2.45 billion respectively, with net profits of 413 million, 493 million, and 562 million [3] - The company's gross margin is expected to decline to 41.3% in 2025, with a net margin of 20.0% [4] - Operating cash flow for 2024 is projected at 823 million, with a significant drop to -12 million in Q1 2025 due to revenue decline [1][4] Segment Performance Summary - The cosmetics active ingredients and raw materials segment is expected to generate 1.904 billion in revenue for 2024 (down 8.05% YoY), while synthetic fragrances are projected to grow by 14.16% YoY to 352 million [2] - The company’s overseas sales are projected to be 1.98 billion (down 8.30% YoY), while domestic sales are expected to increase by 22.87% to 297 million [2]