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东方雨虹(002271):25三季报点评:Q3收入同比实现转正,应收账款持续下降,现金流表现优异
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-10-31 13:51
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase of over 15% in the stock price compared to the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 20.601 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 5.06%, primarily due to a decline in market demand [4][5] - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 810 million yuan, down 36.61% year-on-year, with a significant drop in the second quarter [4] - The third quarter saw a revenue increase of 8.51% year-on-year, marking the first positive growth after seven consecutive quarters of decline [5] - The company is expected to improve its profitability in the fourth quarter of 2025, with a projected net profit of 859 million yuan for 2025, a significant recovery from the previous year [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2023, the company reported an operating income of 32.823 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 5% year-on-year [3] - The projected operating income for 2025 is 27.711 billion yuan, reflecting a decline of 1% compared to 2024 [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to recover to 1.689 billion yuan in 2026, with a growth rate of 97% year-on-year [3] Cash Flow and Asset Quality - The company reported a significant improvement in operating cash flow, with a net cash flow of 416 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, up 184.56% year-on-year [5] - The cash collection ratio for the first three quarters was 99.5%, indicating strong cash recovery capabilities [5] - As of the end of the third quarter, accounts receivable decreased by 18.76% year-on-year, reflecting improved asset quality [5] Market Outlook and Strategy - The company aims to explore opportunities in sand powder products and deepen retail channel development while accelerating overseas market expansion [5] - The report suggests that despite ongoing pressures in the real estate sector, the marginal impact on the waterproof market is expected to be limited [5]