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“就算美国从第三国进口机械部件,兜兜转转,绕不开中国”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 09:18
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ineffectiveness of U.S. tariffs in revitalizing American manufacturing, particularly in relation to its dependency on Chinese machinery and components [1][2]. Group 1: U.S. Manufacturing Dependency on China - U.S. factories rely heavily on Chinese machinery and components, making the revival of American manufacturing more complex due to tariffs [1][2]. - The machinery industry in the U.S. is not in a favorable condition, with a significant portion of production capacity dependent on China [1][2]. - In 2023, Chinese machinery accounted for 17% of U.S. machinery imports, indicating a substantial reliance [2]. Group 2: Impact of Tariffs on Manufacturing Decisions - Tariffs have led to increased prices for industrial machinery, contributing to economic uncertainty and complicating recovery efforts [1][2]. - The uncertainty surrounding tariffs has made it difficult for manufacturers to make business decisions, with some projects being canceled or delayed due to rising costs [7][8]. - The conflicting signals from the U.S. government regarding tariffs hinder the goal of promoting domestic manufacturing [11]. Group 3: Chinese Machinery Industry Growth - China's machinery exports have more than doubled since 2015, reaching $869 billion in 2024, positioning China as the world's largest machinery exporter [2]. - The Chinese machinery industry is expanding its market share, with exports to countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative expected to grow by 14% in 2024 [12]. Group 4: Challenges for Chinese Companies in the U.S. - New tariffs have caused Chinese manufacturers to reassess their plans for expansion in the U.S., with concerns about the cost of necessary machinery and materials [5][6]. - The investment required for establishing manufacturing plants in the U.S. has increased significantly, potentially deterring Chinese companies from proceeding [6].