零售企业下半年展望

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高盛:美国零售业下半年展望趋保守 给予塔吉特(TGT.US)“中性”评级
智通财经网· 2025-08-26 08:21
Core Viewpoint - The overall performance of the retail sector in Q2 shows resilience, but the outlook for the second half of the year is cautious due to uncertainties such as tariff impacts and potential price increases [1] Group 1: Q2 Performance - A majority of retail companies exceeded expectations in same-store sales, gross margin, and operating margin, with 57% of companies surpassing same-store sales forecasts and 50% exceeding gross and operating margin expectations [1] - Major retailers such as Home Depot (HD.US), Lowe's (LOW.US), Target (TGT.US), and Walmart (WMT.US) reported solid growth [1] Group 2: Guidance and Outlook - Only 36% of companies raised their full-year EPS guidance midpoint, while most chose to maintain or lower their forecasts, indicating management's concerns about inflation transmission, rising tariff costs, and consumer uncertainty [1] - Companies generally believe that the impact of tariffs will become fully apparent in Q4 [1] Group 3: Analyst Ratings - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating on BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ.US), Home Depot, Lowe's, and Walmart, citing their strategies and market positions as favorable; Target is rated "Neutral" [1]