非洲物流市场
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嘉友国际(603871):蒙煤量价回暖 看好Q4盈利继续改善
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 00:30
Core Insights - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 310 million yuan in Q3 2025, showing a continued improvement in profitability on a quarter-over-quarter basis [1] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved an operating revenue of 6.57 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.4%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 870 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 19.7% [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved an operating revenue of 2.49 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31%, and a net profit of 310 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.9%, but a quarter-over-quarter increase of 4.7% [1] - The non-recurring net profit attributable to shareholders was 320 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.3% [1] - By the end of Q3 2025, the company's inventory decreased to 550 million yuan, a quarter-over-quarter decline of 44%, and the net cash flow from operating activities improved significantly to 1.05 billion yuan from 40 million yuan in Q2 [2] Market Dynamics - The supply chain trade business in the Mongolia market is expected to improve in Q4 due to a rebound in coal prices and increased sales volume, with coal imports at the Ganqimaodu port increasing by 18% year-on-year and 32% quarter-over-quarter in Q3 [1] - The price of Mongolian coal has rebounded significantly, with the price reaching 1,130 yuan per ton, a 60% increase from the low point in June [1] Growth Opportunities - The company is expanding its cross-border logistics network in Africa, with ongoing projects such as the completion of the Sakania-Endola road and the expansion of the Sakania port [3] - The company has completed the acquisition of a local African fleet and is expanding its cross-border multimodal transport business, with nearly 1,000 cross-border transport vehicles now in operation [3] - The company expects to benefit from local mineral, population, and economic growth in the Congo region, with revenue from land port projects in H1 2025 reaching 310 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34% [2] Profit Forecast - The company anticipates net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.2 billion yuan, 1.47 billion yuan, and 1.8 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, driven by the dual engines of its Mongolia and Africa businesses [4]