Core Insights - The article discusses the evolving understanding of bubbles and debt in the context of the current economic paradigm shift, emphasizing the need for sustainable debt management and market risk pricing [1][2][3] Group 1: Economic Risks and Market Dynamics - The global financial system faces three overlapping risks: debt leverage traps, asset bubble rigidity, and nonlinear shocks from technology finance, particularly AI [2][5] - The current tight funding environment in the U.S. is a result of a combination of policy expectations, fiscal constraints, and asset valuations, which increases volatility in global risk assets [3][4] - The U.S. stock market is at historically high valuations, raising concerns about potential corrections that could impact global innovation and risk asset performance [5][6] Group 2: China's Economic Outlook - Despite global uncertainties, China's market shows relative attractiveness due to improvements in stock market expectations and structural economic transitions [7][8] - The Chinese economy is undergoing a painful but necessary process of clearing out systemic costs, which could create space for new productive forces [7][8] - The Chinese government is focusing on high-quality growth through technological innovation, expanding domestic demand, and enhancing social welfare [8] Group 3: Investment Strategies and Recommendations - Investors are advised to adopt extreme diversification and to be aware of the inherent risks in the current market environment, particularly regarding AI-related assets [19][20] - The article suggests that the next significant market volatility may occur in the U.S. stock market, driven by high valuations and structural weaknesses [20]