预期管理与结构性改革协同

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国金证券首席经济学家宋雪涛:预计资本市场服务实体经济功能将进一步强化
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-08-01 14:19
Group 1 - The core framework for the second half of the economic work is defined as "stabilizing expectations, strengthening reforms, and preventing risks" [1] - The economic outlook has shifted from a previously positive trend to "steady progress," indicating ongoing risks and challenges in the economy [1] - The meeting emphasizes the need for continuous and stable macro policies while enhancing flexibility and foresight, suggesting a focus on precise adjustments in policy [1] Group 2 - The meeting highlights the importance of enhancing the attractiveness and inclusiveness of the domestic capital market, indicating recognition of recent market performance [2] - The focus on "high-quality" urban renewal suggests a shift in real estate policy from scale expansion to quality improvement, with an emphasis on the renovation of existing projects [2] - The directive to "strictly prohibit new hidden debts" signals a deeper commitment to resolving debt risks and managing local financing platforms effectively [2] Group 3 - The fiscal policy will prioritize the efficiency of government debt usage and adjust the issuance of special bonds based on actual demand, focusing on the quality of projects [1] - The capital market is expected to strengthen its role in serving the real economy as reforms deepen and long-term capital enters the market [2] - The policy will increasingly focus on managing expectations and structural reforms to unlock long-term growth potential [2]