风电行业估值切换
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风机招标价格上行,板块全面开启盈利修复期:风电行业点评
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-09-29 11:23
Investment Rating - The report rates the wind power industry as "Overweight," indicating that it is expected to outperform the overall market [9]. Core Insights - The wind turbine bidding prices are on the rise, leading to a comprehensive recovery in the sector. The average bidding price for wind turbine units in June 2025 was 1,616 RMB/kW, reflecting a year-on-year increase of approximately 10.3%. This price increase is anticipated to significantly enhance profit margins in the main machine segment as high-priced orders enter the delivery phase [3]. - The upcoming "14th Five-Year Plan" for marine economic development is expected to boost domestic offshore wind expectations. Global interest rate cuts are accelerating offshore wind construction in Europe, with an expected installed capacity of 8.7 GW in 2026, representing a year-on-year growth of 107%. The market is likely to adjust its valuation as expectations for profit elasticity in the main machine segment are realized [3]. - Investment recommendations focus on companies benefiting from price increases and strong profit elasticity, including Goldwind Technology, Yunda Co., SANY Renewable Energy, and Dongfang Cable. Additionally, companies with scarce capacity and significant expectation gaps, such as Jinlei Co., and those with strong growth logic in pure offshore wind, like Haili Wind Power, are highlighted [3]. Summary by Sections Wind Power Equipment - The wind power industry is experiencing a recovery phase with increasing bidding prices for wind turbines, which is expected to lead to higher profitability for manufacturers [3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of the upcoming marine economic development plan and its potential impact on offshore wind capacity growth [3]. Key Companies and Valuations - The report includes a valuation table for key companies in the wind power sector, detailing their market capitalization, projected net profits, and price-to-earnings ratios for 2024 to 2026 [5]. - Notable companies mentioned include Dongfang Cable, Zhongtian Technology, Haili Wind Power, and Goldwind Technology, among others, with varying projected growth rates and valuations [5].
风电行业点评:风机招标价格上行,板块全面开启盈利修复期
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-09-29 10:12
Investment Rating - The report rates the wind power industry as "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the sector [3][10]. Core Insights - Wind turbine bidding prices are on the rise, with the average bidding price for wind turbine units reaching 1,616 RMB/kW in June 2025, a year-on-year increase of approximately 10.3%, which is expected to significantly enhance profit margins for manufacturers [3]. - The anticipated growth in offshore wind capacity, projected to reach 8.7 GW in 2026 (a year-on-year increase of 107%), is expected to drive a valuation shift in the sector, particularly as market expectations for profit elasticity in turbine manufacturing strengthen [3]. - Key investment recommendations include focusing on companies benefiting from price increases and strong profit elasticity, such as Goldwind Technology, Yunda Co., Sany Heavy Energy, and Dongfang Cable, as well as companies with scarce capacity and significant growth potential like Jinlei Co. and Haili Wind Power [3]. Summary by Sections Wind Power Equipment - The wind power equipment sector is experiencing a recovery phase with increasing bidding prices and profit potential [3]. - The establishment of industry self-regulation mechanisms is contributing to the positive price trend [3]. Market Expectations - The report highlights the synchronization of domestic and global offshore wind expectations, which is likely to enhance market sentiment and valuation for the sector [3]. - The report anticipates that the upcoming quarterly disclosures will further bolster market expectations regarding profit elasticity [3]. Key Companies - The report identifies several key companies for investment consideration, including: - Goldwind Technology - Yunda Co. - Sany Heavy Energy - Dongfang Cable - Jinlei Co. - Haili Wind Power - Other notable mentions include Dajin Heavy Industry, Zhongtian Technology, and Guoda Special Materials [3].