风电装机量

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风电行业研究框架培训
2025-08-18 15:10
Wind Power Industry Research Summary Industry Overview - The wind power industry is primarily focused on the ToB/ToG market, with the return on power generation assets being a core concern, influenced by operating hours, electricity prices, and depreciation costs of power stations [1][2][3] - The domestic wind power sector has evolved through several phases: incubation, rapid growth, correction, and parity. Post-2020, both onshore and offshore wind power have become competitive without subsidies, leading to sustained growth [1][2][3] - It is projected that by 2025, onshore wind power installed capacity will exceed 100 GW, while offshore wind power is expected to reach around 10 GW [1][4] Short-term Market Indicators - The market's short-term health can be assessed through approval, bidding, installation, and grid connection data. Bidding is a leading indicator, typically ahead of installation by about a year [4] - In the first half of 2025, onshore wind bidding has decreased, while offshore wind bidding continues to grow. For 2026, onshore installations are expected to remain high, with offshore installations also anticipated to grow rapidly [5][4] Long-term Market Potential - The domestic wind power market has significant long-term development potential, with abundant onshore and offshore resources. Onshore wind is in a large-scale construction phase, while offshore wind is transitioning from nearshore to deep-sea development [6] - Key factors for future growth include economic viability and the pace of customer adoption. Regions like Zhejiang, Liaoning, and Shandong are advancing deep-sea projects, while Guangdong and Jiangsu are expected to continue their development [6] Importance of Overseas Markets - Overseas markets are crucial for domestic companies, with some achieving significant orders and performance abroad. The overseas onshore wind market is experiencing steady growth, particularly in Asia, Africa, and Latin America, while the offshore market is still in its early stages [7] - In the first half of 2025, projects outside mainland China have seen growth, with expectations for significant increases in installed capacity in the coming years, particularly in Europe and the Asia-Pacific region [7] Industry Chain Structure - The wind power industry chain includes key components such as wind turbines, towers, cables, and substations, with upstream products like steel and copper being critical [8] - The industry faces intense competition, leading to price pressures that affect profit margins. However, recent price corrections have been observed, indicating potential improvements in industry profitability [9] Sector-Specific Insights - The wind turbine sector is expected to see a profitability recovery in the second half of 2025, with rising gross margins due to stabilized supply chains and increased efficiency [10] - The wind turbine components market is experiencing growth, with stable prices and improved profitability in blade production and other components [11] - The tower and pile market is competitive, with domestic companies gaining an advantage in offshore projects due to their established capabilities [12] - The submarine cable industry is characterized by high technical barriers, with leading companies benefiting from increased demand and international expansion opportunities [13][14] Overall Industry Outlook - The wind power industry is currently in a phase of overall prosperity, with expectations for significant earnings growth across various segments in the second half of 2025 [16][18] - Investment in the wind power sector, particularly in offshore wind and international markets, is recommended to capitalize on growth opportunities [16][18]