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波音(BA.US)复苏中:Q4收入与现金流超预期,年度交付量创7年新高,“特朗普红利”带来创纪录积压订单
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-27 13:53
Core Insights - Boeing has achieved positive cash flow for the second consecutive quarter and reported significant sales growth for the last three months of 2025, benefiting from a surge in orders [1] - The company’s CEO, Kelly Ortberg, expressed optimism about the progress made and the heightened expectations from customers and stakeholders for the upcoming year [1] - Boeing is recovering from a five-year operational and quality crisis, increasing production rates for the 737 and 787 Dreamliner, and has seen a nearly threefold increase in aircraft deliveries in the last quarter [1] Financial Performance - In Q4, Boeing reported a free cash flow of $375 million, exceeding analyst expectations, with revenue increasing by 56.8% year-over-year to $23.95 billion, also above forecasts [1] - The adjusted earnings per share for Q4 reached $9.92, the highest quarterly level in over a decade, primarily due to a $9.6 billion gain from the sale of its digital aviation subsidiary, Jeppesen [2] - Excluding this gain, Boeing's per-share loss was worse than analysts' predictions, indicating underlying challenges [2] Production and Orders - The monthly production rate for the 737 program increased to 42 aircraft, while the 787 program's rate rose to 8 aircraft, with Boeing committed to maintaining these levels [2] - In Q4, Boeing received 336 net orders and delivered 160 aircraft, with a backlog exceeding 6,100 aircraft valued at over $500 billion [2] - Boeing delivered 600 aircraft last year, nearly double the expected deliveries for 2024, marking the highest delivery year since 2018 [2] Competitive Landscape - Boeing's commercial aircraft revenue surpassed Wall Street expectations at $11.38 billion, a nearly 140% increase year-over-year, while its defense segment revenue grew by 37% to $7.42 billion [3] - Despite Boeing's recovery, Airbus delivered more aircraft than Boeing last year, with 793 deliveries, although this was below Airbus's record of 863 deliveries in 2019 [6] - Boeing's net orders for 2025 exceeded those of Airbus, with 1,173 net orders compared to Airbus's 889, as airlines plan for growth and replacement of older aircraft [6] Challenges Ahead - Boeing still faces significant challenges, including the need for FAA approval to increase the monthly production of the Max models beyond 42 aircraft following a near-disastrous incident in January 2024 [6] - The company is under pressure to provide clearer timelines for the certification of the 737 Max 7, Max 10, and 777X models, as well as updates on its defense business, which has faced delays [7] - Boeing is also working to integrate its acquisition of Spirit AeroSystems and may face labor disputes as contracts for 16,000 engineers and technicians are set to expire in October [7]