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渣打:维持2026年香港GDP增长2.5%的预测
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-01-07 13:51
Core Viewpoint - Standard Chartered maintains its GDP growth forecast for Hong Kong at 2.5% for 2026, while raising the 2025 growth forecast from 2.8% to 3.3% due to better-than-expected economic performance in the first three quarters of 2025 [1] Economic Growth - The GDP growth forecast for Hong Kong in 2025 has been increased to 3.3% from the previous 2.8% [1] - The GDP growth forecast for 2026 remains at 2.5% [1] Inflation Predictions - The CPI inflation rate forecast for Hong Kong for 2026-2027 has been revised down from 2% to 1.5% [1] - The expected inflation rate for 2025 is also set at 1.5%, indicating stable and balanced inflationary pressures [1] Consumer Spending and Real Estate - Hong Kong household spending is expected to continue its recovery [1] - The real estate sector is projected to maintain an L-shaped recovery with potential for upward movement [1]