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豪鹏科技(001283):AI硬件催动电池技术革新,增长引擎强劲启动
Huajin Securities· 2025-11-27 14:01
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy (First Coverage)" [3] Core Views - The company is positioned to benefit from the AI hardware-driven innovation in battery technology, with strong growth engines initiated [1] - The integration of battery cells and packs, along with competitive advantages in wearable technology and strategic customer resources, shapes the core competitiveness of the company [2] - The company is focusing on the mainstream consumer sector, leveraging its one-stop service advantages in lithium-ion and nickel-hydride products to meet the evolving demands of global brand clients [2][4] - The company has established a differentiated competitive advantage in the AI sector, with its AI-related business expected to continue growing as AI penetration increases in various consumer electronics [4][6] Summary by Sections Financial Data and Valuation - Projected revenues for 2025 to 2027 are expected to be 60.41 billion, 70.77 billion, and 81.25 billion yuan, with growth rates of 18.2%, 17.2%, and 14.8% respectively [6][7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 2.41 billion, 3.62 billion, and 4.57 billion yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 164.3%, 49.9%, and 26.4% respectively [6][7] - The company’s P/E ratios are projected to be 27.4, 18.3, and 14.4 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][7] Market Dynamics - The global lithium-ion battery market is expected to see significant growth, with a projected total shipment volume of 1,899.3 GWh by 2025 and 5,127.3 GWh by 2030 [14][16] - The demand for consumer electronics, particularly AI PCs and smartphones, is anticipated to drive battery demand, with AI PC shipments expected to reach 1.54 million units in Q4 2024 [17][22] - The wearable product market, including TWS earbuds and smart glasses, is also expected to grow, with AI glasses projected to see a 135% increase in sales from 2024 to 2025 [30][34] Technological Innovations - The company is focusing on technological upgrades and product innovations, particularly in solid-state batteries and high-silicon anodes, which are expected to enhance battery safety and energy density [5][6] - The integration of AI technology into battery products is reshaping the company's profitability model, with a higher willingness from clients to pay for breakthrough solutions [2][5] - The company has successfully developed semi-solid batteries with a volumetric energy density of 950 Wh/L and is advancing solid-state battery technology [5][6]