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中航光电(002179):2025 年三季报点评:短期利润让位于高端产能与研发卡位,为下一轮需求释放蓄势
Soochow Securities· 2025-11-04 09:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company achieved total revenue of 15.838 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.36%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 30.89% to 1.737 billion yuan, primarily due to a rapid increase in operating costs [2] - Despite the pressure on profit quality, the company's expense structure remains reasonable, with R&D expenses reaching 1.401 billion yuan, up 12.61% year-on-year, indicating a continuous investment in technological innovation [2] - The asset structure is stable with a debt ratio of 38.75%, and the overall leverage level remains within a safe range. The company has manageable debt levels, with short-term borrowings of 162 million yuan and long-term borrowings of 883 million yuan [3] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is 20.074 billion yuan, with a projected growth of 26.75%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted at 3.339 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.86% [1] - The company’s operating cash flow for the first three quarters of 2025 was -608 million yuan, a significant decline from 725 million yuan in the same period last year, mainly due to increased accounts receivable and inventory [10] - The report projects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 3.400 billion yuan, 4.169 billion yuan, and 4.462 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 23.54, 19.20, and 17.94 [10]