高端自费医疗

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高盛聚焦“有钱的老年人”,脑机接口、基因药物是中国高端自费医疗的未来
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-07-29 03:53
Core Insights - The rise of the "silver economy" indicates that the high-net-worth elderly population is expected to become a significant growth engine for the market [1][5]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Goldman Sachs reports that the medical expenditures of individuals aged 50 and above with net assets exceeding 3 million yuan will be a key driver for the growth of the high-end medical market in China [2]. - This demographic, while only representing 3% of the population over 50, currently contributes 5% of total medical expenditures, which is projected to increase to 13% by 2035 as their population share grows to 5% [3][8]. - The medical spending of this group is expected to rise from 221 billion yuan in 2024 to 963 billion yuan by 2035, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.3%, significantly higher than the overall elderly population growth rate of 5.3% and the all-age growth rate of 4.7% [3][7]. Group 2: Self-Payment Market - As national health insurance budgets tighten, the role of out-of-pocket (OOP) medical expenses is becoming increasingly important, with the self-payment ratio expected to rise from 65% in 2024 to 86% by 2035 [4][9]. - This shift indicates that traditional models reliant on insurance reimbursements are inadequate for meeting the needs of this affluent elderly demographic, which prefers high-quality, elective medical services [9]. Group 3: Health Trends and Opportunities - The report highlights a rising incidence of diseases such as tooth loss, cataracts, and diabetes among the over-50 population, suggesting a growing demand for early screening, preventive care, and high-quality treatment options [10]. - Companies that offer high-end and self-paid medical products are expected to benefit significantly, with revenue growth projected at 13%-21% CAGR, outpacing other business segments [11]. Group 4: Emerging Technologies - The report emphasizes the potential of cutting-edge technologies such as brain-machine interfaces, gene therapies, and rehabilitation robotics to reshape the healthcare industry [4][12]. - The global market for gene medicine is estimated to reach $4.8 trillion, driven by advancements in CRISPR/Cas9 technology and decreasing gene sequencing costs [12]. - Although these technologies are still in early stages, their early applications in healthcare present significant opportunities for growth in the high-end self-pay medical market [13].