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建材、建筑及基建公募REITs周报:周专题:固态电池蓬勃发展,硅碳负极、高镍正极材料相关标的或受益-20250716
EBSCN· 2025-07-16 09:26
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views - Solid-state batteries drive the demand for upstream materials related to silicon-carbon anodes and high-nickel cathodes. They represent the ultimate direction of "0-1" new technology progress in lithium batteries, and the market trend is often catalyzed by industrial technology advancement events. The market is expected to reach a scale of over RMB 100 billion by 2030, with the solid-state battery industry scale potentially reaching RMB 180 billion [4][11]. - As of Thursday (July 10, 2025), the total inventory of the glass industry was 57.34 million weight boxes, a month-on-month decrease of 1.66%; the inventory days were about 28.76 days, a month-on-month decrease of 0.65 days. The production was 12.78 million weight boxes, and the production and sales rate was 107.6%. The inventory has been decreasing for three consecutive weeks, exceeding expectations. It is predicted that glass prices are expected to rise seasonally when the peak season arrives in mid-to-late September, and the stock prices of glass leaders are also expected to rise [4]. - Current investment suggestions include focusing on Honglu Steel Structure, Sinoma Science & Technology, Punan Co., Ltd., Hainan Huatie, Beixin Building Materials, China National Chemical Engineering Co., Ltd., China State Construction Engineering Corporation, Shanghai Harbor, and Keda Industrial Group [4]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1. Weekly Special Topic: The Prosperous Development of Solid-state Batteries, and Related Targets of Silicon-carbon Anodes and High-nickel Cathode Materials May Benefit - **Solid-state battery industry chain**: Solid-state batteries are the ultimate direction of new technology progress in lithium batteries. From 2026 - 2028 is the critical stage for the mass production of all-solid-state batteries with different technical routes, among which the sulfide route is expected to be mass-produced first in 2026. After 2029, the lithium battery industry will enter the structural adjustment stage of maturity. It is predicted that the market space of all-solid-state batteries will reach over RMB 100 billion in 2030, and the industrial scale of solid-state batteries is expected to reach RMB 180 billion [4][11]. - **Silicon-carbon anode**: Silicon-carbon composites are breaking through the physical limit of traditional graphite anodes. To solve the problems of silicon anode materials such as capacity attenuation and volume expansion during charge and discharge, researchers use the silicon-carbon composite method. Beijing Lier invested in Lianchuang Lithium Energy to layout the silicon-carbon anode field. Lianchuang Lithium Energy is expected to start production by the end of this year and achieve significant revenue and profit scale in 2026 [12][20]. - **High-nickel cathode**: With the development of the solid-state battery industry, the application of high-nickel and ultra-high-nickel materials is being accelerated, and the demand for high-nickel ternary materials will continue to grow. Many domestic material enterprises are actively deploying high-nickel materials, and some leading manufacturers have achieved shipments of high-nickel ternary products to solid-state battery enterprises. Some material manufacturers are also increasing nickel production capacity and targeting Indonesia [21]. - **Punan Co., Ltd.**: The company's efficient precipitant products have been recognized by many wet metallurgy customers and achieved batch supply. The increasing demand for high-nickel ternary cathode materials in solid-state batteries is expected to drive the demand for active magnesium oxide, a precipitant used in upstream wet nickel extraction, and the company's related business may benefit [23]. 3.2. Earnings Forecast and Valuation of Main Covered Companies No specific content provided in the text, only the table title is mentioned. 3.3. Weekly Market Review - **Building and building materials industry**: The text provides the weekly and year-to-date rise and fall rankings of the building and building materials industries, as well as the weekly market review of infrastructure public REITs, including closing prices, 52 - week highs and lows, and various rise and fall data [37][38][39]. 3.4. Aggregate Data Tracking - **Real estate data**: It includes cumulative year-on-year data of real estate new construction, construction, completion, and sales areas, land transaction data, real estate transaction data, social financing data, infrastructure investment growth rate, and new contract signing situations of eight major construction central enterprises [42][51][60]. - **Special bond issuance**: It shows the monthly and cumulative issuance amounts of new special bonds and replacement special bonds [89]. 3.5. High-frequency Data Tracking - **Cement data**: It includes the national PO42.5 cement average price, East China regional cement price trend, cement coal price difference index, cement capacity utilization rate, and cement production monthly year-on-year growth rate [100][104][107]. - **Float glass data**: It includes glass spot price, glass futures price, glass inventory, and glass daily melting volume [106][109][114]. - **Photovoltaic glass data**: It includes 2mm photovoltaic glass price, photovoltaic glass inventory, and soda ash price [113][115][118]. - **Glass fiber data**: It includes the prices of various types of glass fiber yarns and glass fiber inventory [120][122][133]. - **Carbon fiber data**: It includes carbon fiber average price, carbon fiber raw silk price, carbon fiber inventory, carbon fiber production, carbon fiber start - up rate, and carbon fiber gross profit margin [128][130][142]. - **Magnesia and alumina prices**: It includes the ex - factory tax - included price of large crystalline fused magnesia and alumina price [144][145][147]. - **Upstream raw material prices**: It includes the prices of asphalt, waste paper, PVC, and HDPE [150][152][154]. - **Physical work volume data**: It includes high - machine rental rate, excavator working hours, and asphalt average start - up rate [156][157][163].