鸡苗价格反弹

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益生股份(002458):二季度业绩环比改善,关注三季度价格反弹
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-08-02 11:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.32 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 3.98%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6 million yuan, down 96.6% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 698 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.42%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 19 million yuan, a decrease of 73.75% year-on-year [1] - The company sold approximately 160 million broiler chicks in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 14%, with an average selling price of 2.4 yuan per chick, up about 0.1 yuan from Q1 2025 [1] - The report highlights a seasonal rebound in chick prices expected in Q3 2025, driven by market replenishment in the peak season of September and October [1] - The company experienced a loss of 6.46 million yuan in investment income in Q2 2025, primarily due to losses from its stake in Beidahuang Baoquanling Agriculture and Animal Husbandry [1] Financial Summary - The company expects net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 200 million, 570 million, and 590 million yuan, representing year-on-year changes of -60.2%, +186.3%, and +2.6% respectively [2] - The estimated P/E ratio for 2026 is 17 times [2] - The financial indicators for 2025E show a revenue of 3.113 billion yuan, a net profit of 200 million yuan, and an EPS of 0.18 yuan per share [4]