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CME Group Trades Above 200-Day SMA: Time to Hold CME Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-08-26 14:01
Group 1: Company Overview - CME Group Inc. has a market capitalization of $97.8 billion, making it the largest futures exchange globally in terms of trading volume and notional value traded [3] - The company has been trading above its 200-day simple moving average, indicating a short-term bullish trend, with a current share price of $271.39, down 6.7% from its 52-week high of $290.79 [1][2] Group 2: Financial Performance - CME Group's shares have gained 27.8% over the past year, outperforming the Finance sector and the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which grew by 17.2% and 15.8%, respectively [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CME Group's 2024 earnings per share (EPS) indicates an 8.7% year-over-year increase, with revenues projected at $6.53 billion, reflecting a 6.5% year-over-year improvement [9] - The consensus estimates for 2026 EPS and revenues suggest increases of 3.6% and 4.7%, respectively, from the 2024 estimates [10] Group 3: Investment Opportunity - CME Group is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 23.75x, which is lower than the industry average of 26.47x, presenting a compelling investment opportunity [9] - The average price target from 18 analysts for CME shares is $284.33, indicating a potential upside of 5.4% from the last closing price [12] Group 4: Revenue Drivers and Growth Factors - CME's clearing and transaction fees are the largest revenue drivers, supported by market volatility, rising electronic trading, and increasing traction in crypto assets [8][15] - The company has a strong focus on cost efficiency and a robust capital base, which aids in expanding its market data business and broadening its product range [17] Group 5: Analyst Sentiment - Recent analyst sentiment is optimistic, with four out of eleven analysts raising estimates for 2025 and three for 2026 over the past 30 days, leading to slight upward adjustments in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for both years [11] Group 6: Competitive Landscape - CME Group faces concentration risk due to its reliance on Interest Rate and Equity products for a significant portion of its revenues, despite efforts to diversify [18] - The derivatives exchange segment is experiencing increased competition from crypto trading platforms and other electronic trading venues [18] Group 7: Dividend and Growth Potential - CME has a strong dividend history, paying five dividends per year, with the fifth being variable based on excess cash flow, making it attractive for yield-seeking investors [19] - The company is well-positioned for growth due to its strong global presence, compelling product portfolio, and a focus on over-the-counter clearing services [19]
Newmont Stock Slips Below 50-Day SMA: What Should Investors Do Now?
ZACKS· 2025-05-19 12:21
Core Viewpoint - Newmont Corporation's stock has recently experienced a pullback due to declining gold prices, but the company maintains a long-term bullish trend supported by strong project execution and financial health [1][2][21]. Stock Performance - Newmont's stock fell below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $50.10, indicating a bearish signal, while it remains above its 200-day SMA, suggesting a long-term uptrend [1][2]. - Over the past month, Newmont's shares have decreased by 9.3%, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's decline of 11.3% but underperforming the S&P 500's increase of 15.3% [5]. Project Execution and Acquisitions - Newmont is actively investing in growth projects, including the Tanami Expansion 2 in Australia and the Ahafo North expansion in Ghana, which are expected to enhance production capacity and extend mine life [10]. - The acquisition of Newcrest Mining Limited has created a robust portfolio, achieving $500 million in annual run-rate synergies and positioning Newmont favorably in the gold and copper production landscape [11]. Financial Health - Newmont reported a strong liquidity position with $8.8 billion in liquidity, including $4.7 billion in cash and cash equivalents, and a significant operating cash flow increase of approximately 162% year over year [13]. - The company generated a record free cash flow of $1.2 billion in the first quarter and returned $1 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [13]. Gold Price Dynamics - Despite recent declines, gold prices have increased by roughly 22% this year, with Newmont's average realized gold prices rising around 41% year over year to $2,944 per ounce in the first quarter [14][15]. - Factors such as central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions are expected to support gold prices, which remain above $3,200 per ounce [15]. Dividend and Valuation - Newmont offers a dividend yield of 2% with a payout ratio of 24%, indicating a sustainable dividend backed by strong cash flows [16]. - The stock is trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 12.07X, approximately 11% lower than the industry average of 13.57X, making it an attractive investment option [18]. Earnings Estimates - Newmont's earnings estimates for 2025 have been revised upward, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate suggesting a year-over-year growth of 12.6% [17][18]. Investment Outlook - Despite recent stock performance challenges, Newmont presents a compelling investment case due to its growth projects, strong financial health, and favorable market conditions for gold [21].
Coca-Cola Stock Slips Below 50-Day SMA: Time to Buy or Exit?
ZACKS· 2025-05-13 14:31
Core Viewpoint - Coca-Cola's stock has recently slipped below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), indicating a potential short-term bearish trend, with a notable decline of 3.9% since the earnings report on April 29, 2025 [1][4][25]. Stock Performance - KO stock closed at $69.53, below the 50-day SMA of $70.88, and has been on a downtrend since May 9, 2025 [1][4]. - The stock has lost 4% in the past month, slightly outperforming the Zacks Beverages – Soft Drinks industry's decline of 4.7% but underperforming the broader Zacks Consumer Staples sector's decline of 1.4% and the S&P 500's growth of 4.4% [4][5]. - KO stock reflects a 6.5% discount from its 52-week high of $74.38 and a 14.7% premium to its 52-week low of $60.62 [8]. Financial Performance - The first quarter of 2025 saw a 2% decline in revenues and a modest 1% growth in earnings per share (EPS), with underwhelming results across most operating segments except North America and EMEA [9]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for KO's 2025 revenues and EPS implies year-over-year growth of 2.3% and 2.8%, respectively, with estimates for 2026 suggesting 5.2% and 8.2% growth [18]. Competitive Positioning - Coca-Cola's performance is weaker than competitor Monster Beverage, which rallied 4.8% in the past month, but it outperformed PepsiCo and Keurig Dr Pepper, which declined by 10.3% and 6.1%, respectively [5]. - KO trades at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 22.8X, significantly higher than industry peers like PepsiCo and Keurig, which trade at 16.37X and 16.04X, respectively [20][21]. Strategic Initiatives - Coca-Cola is focusing on innovation and strategic expansion, diversifying its portfolio to include healthier options and entering the ready-to-drink alcoholic beverage market [11][13]. - The company aims to balance volume growth with price/mix optimization while anticipating a tapering impact from inflation-driven pricing pressures [14]. Market Outlook - Despite short-term headwinds, Coca-Cola's strong market leadership, diversified product portfolio, and strategic emphasis on innovation support its long-term growth trajectory [26]. - The company's proactive approach to navigating economic volatility is crucial for sustaining performance, making it an attractive option for long-term investors [27].
PepsiCo Trades Below 200-Day SMA: Buying Opportunity or Red Flag?
ZACKS· 2025-04-01 15:45
Core Viewpoint - PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) is facing significant challenges, reflected in its stock performance and technical indicators, suggesting a bearish trend and investor caution [1][3][12]. Group 1: Stock Performance - PEP shares have decreased by 12.5% over the past year, underperforming the Zacks Beverages – Soft Drinks industry, which grew by 1.3% [3]. - The stock is currently trading at $149.94, below its 200-day simple moving average of $159.46, indicating a potential sustained downward trend [1][8]. - PEP's stock reflects an 18.2% discount from its 52-week high of $183.41 and a 6% premium over its 52-week low of $141.51 [9]. Group 2: Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PEP's earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 and 2026 has been revised down by a penny in the last 30 days [10]. - For 2025, the sales estimate indicates a 0.1% decline, while EPS suggests a 1.6% year-over-year growth [10]. - The consensus for 2026 sales and earnings indicates growth of 3.5% and 6.4% year-over-year, respectively [10]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - PEP's performance is weaker compared to competitors like The Coca-Cola Company (KO), Monster Beverage (MNST), and Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP), which have growth rates of 19.1%, 2.9%, and 10.7%, respectively [4]. - PEP's forward 12-month P/E ratio is 17.8X, below the industry average of 18.89X and the S&P 500's average of 20.42X [16]. Group 4: Operational Challenges - The company is experiencing weak top-line performance due to challenges in its QFNA segment and the North American market, including product recalls and weak demand [12][13]. - In Q4 2024, revenues declined by 0.2% year-over-year, with unit volume down 1% in both convenient foods and beverage businesses [14]. - Ongoing product recalls and rising prices have pressured volumes, leading to investor skepticism [15][20].