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国博电子(688375):业绩承压下盈利能力有所改善,持续开拓新领域培育新增长点
Orient Securities· 2025-04-13 14:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 65.66 CNY, based on a projected PE of 67 times for 2025 [2][4]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline in 2024, with total revenue of 2.591 billion CNY, down 27.36% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 485 million CNY, down 20.06% [8]. - Despite the revenue drop, the company's gross margin improved to 38.59%, up 6.31 percentage points, indicating enhanced profitability [8]. - The company is focusing on expanding into new fields, particularly in military and civilian applications, positioning itself as a leader in T/R components and benefiting from advancements in military information technology [8]. Financial Summary - **Revenue Forecasts**: - 2023: 3,567 million CNY - 2024: 2,591 million CNY (down 27.4%) - 2025: 3,352 million CNY (up 29.4%) - 2026: 4,321 million CNY (up 28.9%) - 2027: 5,386 million CNY (up 24.6%) [3] - **Net Profit Forecasts**: - 2023: 606 million CNY - 2024: 485 million CNY (down 20.1%) - 2025: 584 million CNY (up 20.6%) - 2026: 769 million CNY (up 31.6%) - 2027: 962 million CNY (up 25.1%) [3] - **Key Financial Ratios**: - Gross Margin: - 2023: 32.3% - 2024: 38.6% - 2025: 34.7% - 2026: 32.9% - 2027: 31.6% [3] - Net Margin: - 2023: 17.0% - 2024: 18.7% - 2025: 17.4% - 2026: 17.8% - 2027: 17.9% [3] - **Earnings Per Share**: - 2023: 1.02 CNY - 2024: 0.81 CNY - 2025: 0.98 CNY - 2026: 1.29 CNY - 2027: 1.61 CNY [3]