Core Viewpoint - The recent data indicates that the financing balance of A-shares has surpassed 2.7 trillion, coinciding with the regulatory policy of raising the minimum margin ratio from 80% to 100%, leading to renewed discussions about leverage levels in the market [1] Group 1: Market Leverage Levels - The current leverage level in the A-share market is not irrationally high when considering structural changes and core indicators [2] - Key indicators such as the financing balance to circulating market value ratio and the financing buy amount to A-share transaction amount ratio are significantly below historical peaks, indicating a reasonable leverage level [2][3] - The financing balance to circulating market value ratio is currently at 2.62%, which is approximately 55.5% of the historical peak of 4.72% reached in 2015 [3] Group 2: Industry Analysis - Financing balance to circulating market value ratios across various sectors are significantly lower than their historical highs from 2015, with notable declines in sectors such as Information Technology (down 38.9%), Real Estate (down 36.4%), and Healthcare (down 43.5%) [5][6] - The Communications Services sector shows the most significant decline, with a current ratio of 2.50%, down 65.2% from its peak of 7.19% in 2015 [5][6] Group 3: Financing Activity Indicators - The financing buy amount to A-share transaction amount ratio is currently at 9.79%, which is only half of the historical peak of 19.26% from 2015, indicating a moderate increase in trading activity without irrational speculation [7] - The proportion of investors participating in margin trading has increased to 6.84%, which is still about half of the historical peak of 14.09% [10] - The average financing balance per investor has risen to 1.4329 million, showing a recovery trend since the 924 market rally, although it remains below the historical peak [13] Group 4: Risk Management Indicators - The average maintenance margin ratio is at 288.03%, significantly above the 140% warning line, indicating a strong safety margin for leveraged investors [15]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market's financing balance has exceeded 2.7 trillion, coinciding with the regulatory policy of raising the minimum margin ratio from 80% to 100%, leading to renewed discussions about leverage levels in the market [1] Group 1: Current Leverage Levels - The current leverage level in the A-share market is not irrationally high when considering structural changes and core indicators [2] - Key indicators such as the financing balance to circulating market value ratio and the financing buy amount to A-share transaction amount ratio are significantly below historical peaks [2] - The financing balance to circulating market value ratio is currently at 2.62%, which is about 55.5% of the historical peak of 4.72% reached in 2015 [4] Group 2: Industry Analysis - Financing balance to circulating market value ratios across various sectors are significantly lower than their historical highs in 2015, with notable declines in sectors like Information Technology (38.9% drop), Real Estate (36.4% drop), and Healthcare (43.5% drop) [6][7] - The current ratios for various sectors as of January 19, 2026, are: - Information Technology: 3.50% - Real Estate: 3.09% - Healthcare: 2.74% - Communication Services: 2.50% [7] Group 3: Trading Activity and Investor Participation - The ratio of financing buy amount to A-share transaction amount is currently at 9.79%, significantly lower than the historical peak of 19.26% in 2015, indicating a controlled level of trading activity [8] - The proportion of investors participating in margin trading is at 6.84%, which is about half of the historical peak of 14.09% [10] - The average financing balance per investor has risen to 143.29 million, although it is still 16.1% lower than the historical peak of 170.79 million [13] Group 4: Safety Margins and Risk Management - The average maintenance margin ratio is at 288.03%, well above the 140% warning line, indicating a strong safety margin for leveraged investors [15]