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全球科技业绩快报:Coreweave25Q3
Haitong Securities International· 2025-11-12 00:45
Investment Rating - The report assigns a positive investment rating, indicating an "Outperform" expectation for the company over the next 12-18 months [18]. Core Insights - The company's third-quarter performance for 2025 showed a revenue of $1.40 billion, a 134% year-over-year increase, significantly exceeding market expectations. Adjusted operating income was $217 million with a 16% margin, and adjusted EBITDA reached $838 million, more than double the previous year, with an EBITDA margin of 61% [1][6]. - The strong performance was driven by a tight supply-demand balance in AI cloud capacity, with continued partnerships with major clients like Meta and OpenAI, showcasing high customer retention [2][7]. - The company has accelerated its capacity expansion, increasing active power to approximately 590 MW and contracted power to 2.9 GW, while diversifying delivery risks through new data centers in the U.S. and Europe [3][8]. - Financially, the company optimized funding costs, achieving a quarterly capital expenditure of $1.9 billion and a cash balance of $3.0 billion, supported by approximately $14 billion in debt and equity financing [4][9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for Q3 2025 was $1.40 billion, up 134% year-over-year, with adjusted EPS at -$0.22, and adjusted operating income of $217 million, reflecting a 16% margin. Adjusted EBITDA was $838 million, with a margin of 61% [1][6]. - Despite a GAAP net loss of $110 million, the adjusted net loss narrowed to $41 million, with operating expenses totaling $1.30 billion [1][6]. Business Drivers - The key driver for the quarter's outperformance was the expansion in volume due to a tight supply-demand balance for AI cloud capacity. The company maintained strong relationships with major clients, with 90% of the top 10 customers making repeat purchases [2][7]. - The company’s differentiated software solutions improved resource utilization and customer stickiness, enhancing its market reputation [2][7]. Capacity Expansion - The company significantly accelerated its capacity expansion, with active power rising to ~590 MW and contracted power increasing to 2.9 GW. It added eight new data centers in the U.S. and advanced European sites, adopting a dual-track model to mitigate delivery risks [3][8]. Financial Strategy - The company’s capital expenditures reached $1.9 billion, with a cash balance of $3.0 billion. It completed about $14 billion in financing, optimizing its debt maturity profile and reducing overall funding costs [4][9]. - The financing strategy included a new $3.0 billion facility with a lower interest rate, contributing to a favorable financial position for rapid expansion [4][9]. Future Outlook - For FY2025, the company guided revenue expectations of $5.05–5.15 billion and adjusted operating income of $690–720 million, with anticipated capital expenditures of $12–14 billion. The management expects capital expenditures in 2026 to exceed double that of 2025 [5][10].