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网易-S:AI赋能教育音乐
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-10 11:55
Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to report Q4 revenue between 26.897 billion to 30.347 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.6% to 13.5% [1] - The anticipated net profit for Q4 is projected to be between 7.581 billion to 11.585 billion RMB, with a year-on-year change of -13.5% to 32.2% [1] - Adjusted net profit is forecasted to be between 8.454 billion to 9.978 billion RMB, showing a year-on-year change of -12.7% to 3.1% [1] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Q4 revenue consensus estimate ranges from 26.897 billion to 30.347 billion RMB, with an average estimate of 28.746 billion RMB, indicating a 7.5% year-on-year increase [2] - Q4 net profit consensus estimate ranges from 7.581 billion to 11.585 billion RMB, with an average estimate of 8.440 billion RMB, reflecting a -3.7% year-on-year change [2] - Adjusted net profit is expected to be between 8.454 billion to 9.978 billion RMB, with an average estimate of 9.112 billion RMB, indicating a -5.9% year-on-year change [2] Recent Performance Insights - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 28.36 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 8.2%, with a gross margin of 64.1%, up by 1.2 percentage points [3] - Adjusted net profit for Q3 was 9.5 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 26.7%, with a net profit margin of 33.5%, an increase of 4.9 percentage points [3] - The gaming segment generated 23.3 billion RMB in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 11.8%, driven by growth in titles like "Fantasy Westward Journey" and "Nirvana in Fire" [3][4] Business Segment Performance - The peak online user count for "Fantasy Westward Journey" reached 3.58 million [4] - The overseas market saw "Fate: Stars" topping download charts in multiple regions, with upcoming releases like "Diablo IV" [4][5] - The Youdao business generated 1.63 billion RMB in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 3.6%, continuing its "AI + Education" strategy [4] - Cloud music revenue was 1.96 billion RMB, showing a year-on-year decline of 1.8%, with the introduction of AI tuning features to enhance user experience [4][5] Future Projections - The company anticipates net profits of 35.7 billion, 38.3 billion, and 42.9 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with current stock prices corresponding to P/E ratios of 16.6, 15.5, and 13.8 [5]