传媒 2026 年 03 月 01 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 -17% 0% 17% 34% 50% 67% 2025-03 2025-07 2025-11 传媒 沪深300 数据来源：聚源 相关研究报告 《节后继续聚焦 AI 入口商业化、重磅 新游及长青游戏 — 行 业 周 报 》 -2026.2.23 《《异环》三测及字节 AI 视频模型惊 艳，继续布局游戏/多模态 AI 应用— 行业周报》-2026.2.8 《Moltbook、元宝、Genie3 出圈，继 续布局 AI 社交/游戏/营销—行业点评 报告》-2026.2.2 把握更确定方向，聚焦头部新游及核心 AI 应用 ——行业周报 方光照（分析师） fangguangzhao@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790520030004 《异环》定档 4.23 公测，或为潜在"爆款"，继续布局游戏，聚焦头部新游 完美世界旗下二次元超自然都市开放世界游戏《异环》已官宣将于 4 月 23 日开 启国服公测，届时同步上线 PC、安卓、iOS、Mac、鸿蒙、PS5 平台，海外公测 也将随后于 4 月 29 日开启。此前于 2.4-2.18 期间进行 ...

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [4] Core Insights & Investment Recommendations - In February, 152 game licenses were approved, with 146 domestic and 6 imported games passing the review. Key products include Tencent's "Snow in the World" and others. As of February, 334 game licenses have been approved in 2026, indicating a stable issuance rhythm and a solid foundation for healthy industry development [2][20] - The rapid development of AI applications, combined with a recovery in entertainment consumption, presents investment opportunities in leading internet companies in Hong Kong, the gaming industry, and the film and cultural tourism sectors. Beneficiaries include Tencent, Alibaba, and others [21][6] Sub-industry Data Film Industry - The top three films by box office this week are "Flying Life 3" with 94,822.7 thousand yuan, "Biao Ren: Wind Rising in the Desert" with 34,787.9 thousand yuan, and "Silent Awakening" with 26,230.1 thousand yuan [22][23] Gaming Industry - The top three iOS games by revenue are "Honor of Kings," "Peacekeeper Elite," and "Gold Shovel Battle." The top three Android games by popularity are "Heartbeat Town," "Diver Dave," and "Minecraft: Mobile Edition" [24][25] TV Series Industry - The top three TV series by broadcast index are "Taiping Year," "Eliminate Evil," and "Love in the Pure Era," with indices of 80.3, 79, and 78.8 respectively [26][27] Variety and Animation - The top variety show is "Now Departing Season 3" with a broadcast index of 69.6, followed by "The Strongest Brain Season 13" and "Hello Saturday 2026" [28][29] - The top three animations by viewership index are "Happy Hammer," "Xian Ni," and "Beyond Time," with indices of 288.1, 234.4, and 229.5 respectively [30]

证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2026 年 3 月 1 日 [Table_Author] 分析师：赵琳 邮箱：zhaolin@hx168.com.cn SAC NO：S1120520040003 请仔细阅读在本报告尾部的重要法律声明 [Table_Title] 2 月 152 款游戏版号落地，Anthropic 指控国 产模型"蒸馏" [Table_Title2] 传媒行业周报系列 2026 年第 8 周 [Table_Summary] ►市场行情回顾 2026 年第8周（实际交易日为 2026.2.23-2026.2.27）上证 指数上涨 1.98%，沪深 300 指数上涨 1.08%，创业板指数上 涨 1.05%。恒生指数上涨 0.82%，恒生互联网指数下跌 2.49%，行业落后恒生指数 3.31pct。SW 传媒指数下跌 5.1%，跑输创业板指数 6.15pct，在申万一级 31 个行业涨 跌幅排名中位列第 31 位。子行业中影视、游戏和广告营销 位 列 前 三位，分别为上涨 4.26%、上涨 0.37%和下跌 0.17%。 ►核心观点&投资建议 2 月 152 款游戏版号落地， ...

Group 1: Core Insights - The report suggests a positive outlook for the AI industry and gaming sectors, indicating that recent market corrections may present better investment opportunities [12] - E-commerce sector shows mixed results, with Alibaba leading in AI advancements but facing pessimistic revenue growth expectations, leading to stock price fluctuations [16] - Social entertainment media, particularly Tencent and Bilibili, are expected to maintain strong growth, with Bilibili's advertising growth likely to outperform the overall internet advertising market [16] Group 2: E-commerce Insights - Alibaba's AI developments are significant, with the launch of the Qwen 3.5-Plus model, which has shown competitive performance at a lower cost, enhancing its market position [13] - Meituan is expected to face challenges due to intense competition in the food delivery sector, impacting profitability in the short term [16] Group 3: Gaming Sector Insights - The gaming sector is anticipated to maintain a favorable outlook, with new product launches expected to drive growth in 2026 [14] - Companies like Century Huatong and Perfect World are highlighted for their strong product pipelines and potential for revenue growth [18] Group 4: AI Developments - The report notes a growing concern about AI's impact on traditional industries, with a shift in market focus towards model technology pricing and capabilities [20] - The upcoming second quarter of 2026 is expected to see a new wave of model iterations, with domestic models catching up rapidly [20] Group 5: Advertising and Marketing - The advertising sector is seeing increased activity, with companies like Focus Media ramping up ad placements, particularly in consumer goods ahead of major events like the World Cup [18] - AI marketing is gaining traction, with companies like Titanium Technology preparing for an IPO, indicating strong growth potential in this area [19] Group 6: Media and Entertainment - The long video sector is stabilizing, with companies exploring new business avenues, while short video platforms like Kuaishou are benefiting from technological advancements [17] - The report emphasizes the importance of content production capabilities and project pipelines for companies in the film and television industry [19]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained as "Recommended" indicating a positive outlook for the industry fundamentals and an expectation that the industry index will outperform the benchmark index [2][7]. Core Insights - The gaming industry is expected to benefit significantly from the AI wave, with leading companies likely to thrive amidst concerns that AI may disrupt the gaming sector [5]. - The report suggests that while AI may lower the barriers to game development, creating large-scale games will still require substantial resources, making it unlikely for small teams to compete with established gaming giants [5]. - Historical trends show that leading gaming companies have consistently benefited from technological advancements, and they are well-positioned to adapt to new changes in the industry [5]. Industry Overview - The gaming sector consists of 160 companies with a total market capitalization of 2,270.9 billion and a circulating market value of 2,090.9 billion [2]. - The absolute performance of the industry over 1 month, 6 months, and 12 months is -0.9%, 22.7%, and 27.0% respectively, while the relative performance is 1.2%, 11.1%, and 7.7% [4]. Company Recommendations - The report continues to favor leading gaming companies such as Tencent, NetEase, Century Huatong, Giant Network, and others, indicating a strong belief in their potential to leverage AI advancements [5].

Key Insights - The report highlights the competitive landscape in the AI sector during the Spring Festival, with major players like ByteDance, Alibaba, and Tencent achieving significant user engagement and interaction through their AI applications [1][8] - The report discusses the advancements in autonomous driving, including legislative support in the US and significant developments from companies like Tesla and Waymo, indicating a growing market for self-driving technology [2][9] - The US Supreme Court's ruling against the "reciprocal tariffs" imposed by the Trump administration is expected to impact trade dynamics significantly, affecting various sectors [3][10] Recent Key Events - ByteDance's AI model generated over 50 million new year avatars and achieved 19 billion interactions during the Spring Festival, showcasing its strong user engagement [1][8] - Alibaba's "Qianwen" app facilitated nearly 200 million orders during the holiday, with a notable user base of older adults successfully utilizing the service [1][8] - Tencent's user engagement metrics reached new highs, with over 50 million daily active users during the Spring Festival, reflecting the effectiveness of its promotional activities [1][8] Market Situation - The Hang Seng Index fell from 27,387 points at the end of January to 26,381 points by February 26, marking a decline of 3.7% [11] - The Hang Seng Technology Index experienced a more significant drop of 10.6% during the same period [11] - Net inflows from southbound trading reached 75.6 billion HKD in February, indicating a positive trend in capital movement [12] Current Investment Recommendations - Focus on growth-oriented real estate and energy companies such as Beike-W, China Qinfa, and Power Development, which are expected to perform well in the current market [21] - Consider companies benefiting from the adjustment of the Hong Kong Stock Connect, like Leshushi, which is positioned for growth in the African hygiene products market [21] - Internet companies like Alibaba and Tencent are recommended due to their advancements in AI and strong market positions [21] Company-Specific Insights - Beike-W (2423.HK) is positioned as a leader in the real estate brokerage sector, with expected net profits of 37.1 billion CNY in 2025, reflecting a growth trajectory despite market challenges [22][24] - China Qinfa (0866.HK) is transitioning away from coal operations in Shanxi and focusing on its growing Indonesian coal business, with projected profits of 6.1 billion CNY by 2026 [25][26] - Leshushi (2698.HK) is a leading player in the African hygiene products market, with a projected net profit growth of 18.5% in 2025, driven by increasing market penetration [35][36] - Alibaba (9988.HK) is enhancing its AI capabilities with the launch of the Qwen3.5 model, which is expected to drive significant revenue growth across its platforms [39][40] - Tencent (0700.HK) is experiencing strong growth in its gaming and advertising segments, with a projected revenue increase to 7,530 billion CNY by 2025 [44][46]

推荐(维持) 投资要点 分析师：朱珠 S1050521110001 zhuzhu@cfsc.com.cn | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 传媒(申万) | -5.0 | 10.0 | 35.2 | | 沪深 300 | 0.1 | 4.1 | 21.1 | 市场表现 2026 年 02 月 28 日 传媒回调行情仍在 智能新纪元撬动注意力经济 行业相对表现 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 (%) 传媒 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《传媒行业周报：春晚节点重燃 AI 传媒有望承接 AI 应用新场景》 2026-02-23 2 、 《 传 媒 行 业 点 评 报 告 ： Seedance2.0 推动 AIGC 进入卡尔达 肖夫指数》2026-02-10 3、《传媒行业周报：从春节档到 AI 春晚迎 2026 年新篇章关注 AIGC》 2026-02-08 ▌本周观点更新 2026 年 2 月底传媒板块开年后略回调，我们认为当下传媒板 块行情仍在，AIGC 新叙事仍可期。企业端，AIGC 公 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [7] Core Insights - The gaming market performed steadily during the Spring Festival, with several long-term DAU games showing outstanding performance. Tencent's multiple games maintained top positions, with "Peace Elite" achieving a new user high during the Spring Festival version [2][4] - The gaming market's actual sales revenue in January was 32.5 billion yuan, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 3.0% and a year-on-year increase of 4.5%. The PC gaming market exceeded 8.2 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 23.5% [6][10] - The upcoming release of new games is expected to catalyze continued growth in the industry, with several titles scheduled for launch in the coming months [10] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The gaming market showed stable performance during the Spring Festival, with long-term DAU games demonstrating significant advantages. Tencent's games, including "Peace Elite," "Delta Action," and "Valorant Mobile," consistently ranked in the top 10 bestsellers [10] - The overseas market for self-developed games saw a year-on-year revenue increase of 24% in January, driven by stable performance of mature products and successful launches of new titles [10] Future Outlook - The industry is expected to see a series of new game launches, with titles like "Douluo Dalu: Zhusha Legend" and "EVE" scheduled for release in the coming months. The gaming sector's product cycle and performance certainty remain strong, indicating potential investment opportunities [10]

迈入"十五五"新征程，成都高新区被赋予新使命。中共成都市委十四届八次全会，明确支持成都高新区 加快建设世界领先科技园区。 2月27日，马年新春收假首周，成都市高新区召开2026年工作会议，总结2025年和"十四五"时期工作， 谋划未来五年发展规划并部署2026年工作。 记者从会上获悉，2025年成都高新区实现地区生产总值3661.5亿元、增长6.1%；实现固定资产投资 805.5亿元、增长12.5%，其中工业投资450.6亿元、增长59.1%；实现外贸进出口总额5508.0亿元，分别 占四川省、成都市的53.4%和64.8%，成都高新综保区进出口规模和绩效评估首次位列全国"双第一"。 作为成都产业发展主阵地，成都高新区推动圈链融合、构建多点支撑格局，现代化产业体系基本成势。 电子信息产业实现规上工业增加值增长10.0%，成为工业经济的重要支柱。医药健康产业创新前行，引 进世界500强武田制药中国首个数字医疗创新中心、华润医药西部创新中心等项目，揭牌成立成都全球 新药发现中心，5种"成都高新造"药品纳入国家医保目录。数字经济产业实现核心产业增加值1860.2亿 元、增长10.8%，引进总投资30亿元的爱奇艺影视 ...

上证综合指数（SHCOMP）：-0.17% 上证 50（SSE 50）：-0.17% 沪深 300（CSI 300）：-0.71% 科创 50（STAR50）：-0.66% 创业板指（ChiNext）：-1.46% 中证 500（CSI 500）：+0.19% 总成交额（万亿元人民币）：1.60，环比下降 3% 早 上证综合指数（SHCOMP）：-0.17% 上证 50（SSE 50）：-0.17% 沪深 300（CSI 300）：-0.71% 科创 50（STAR50）：-0.66% 创业板指（ChiNext）：-1.46% 中证 500（CSI 500）：+0.19% 总成交额（万亿元人民币）：1.60，环比下降 3% 早盘市场波动，上证综指在平盘附近徘徊，临近午盘小幅走低。 板块方面，半导体板块早盘表现落后，但寒武纪（688256.SH）+1.17%、韦尔股份（688521.SZ）+5.63% 仍实 现上涨。 另一方面，受隔夜美国科技股走弱影响，光模块（CPO）和 PCB 板块出现回调，中际旭创（300308.SZ）- 6.4%、胜宏科技（300476.SZ）-5.41%。 稀土板块再度成为市场焦点，有 ...