AI bull market
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Ice Cold, Zen-Like Investing With Alex King
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-10-26 20:00
AI and Technology Sector - The AI demand cycle is still in its early stages, with significant growth in GPU shipments, server shipments, and data center builds expected to continue [6][7][8] - Many large companies are adopting AI but are struggling with use cases and understanding the true economics of implementation [8][9] - The current excitement around AI may lead to a "trough of disillusionment," where valuations could drop as reality catches up with expectations [12][14] - Nvidia's valuation is considered reasonable based on its growth and margins, but concerns exist about potential competition affecting its market share [15][26] Semiconductor Industry - The semiconductor sector has seen a significant run-up in prices, with the SOXX ETF moving from 148 to 290 over six months [56][58] - There is a possibility that the semiconductor sector may become a source of funds for investors, as profits are taken and capital is rotated into other sectors [57][64] - Intel is positioned to benefit from government support and reshoring of semiconductor manufacturing, but its fundamentals remain weak [65][69] Tesla - Tesla's stock is viewed positively due to potential synergies with xAI, despite challenges in its core automotive business [34][38] - The market perception of Tesla is driven more by Elon Musk's leadership than by traditional automotive fundamentals [41][42] Gold Market - Gold prices are perceived to have risen too quickly, driven by fear rather than fundamental economic indicators [43][45] - The current demand for gold is seen as a reaction to global uncertainties, but there is skepticism about its sustainability at current price levels [48][50] Quantum Computing - The quantum computing sector has experienced significant momentum, but the long-term viability of smaller companies in this space remains uncertain [30][32] - Government investments may provide temporary support, but stock prices are currently viewed as overvalued relative to fundamentals [32][33] Cryptocurrency - The cryptocurrency market is characterized by high volatility, with Bitcoin and Ether seen as having potential upside, while lower-order coins are viewed with caution [74][84] - The use of ETFs for cryptocurrency investments is recommended as a safer alternative to direct holdings [86]