Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the **China Internet and eCommerce industry**, focusing on online retail performance and key players in the market. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Online Retail Growth**: - National online retail goods GMV accelerated to **+8% year-over-year (yoy)** in July, improving from **+6%** in May and June, which included the 618 shopping festival [2] - Online services GMV accelerated to **+35% yoy** in July, up from **29%** in May and June, driven by a shift towards services and subsidies in food delivery and local services [2] 2. **Retail Sales Performance**: - Overall retail sales growth was **3.7% yoy** in July, below expectations (Goldman Sachs estimate: **+5.0% yoy**) [2] - Notable slowdown in automobile sales, which declined by **-1.5% yoy** in July due to reduced discount rates amid "anti-involution" policies [2] 3. **Parcel Volume Growth**: - Industry parcel volume growth moderated to approximately **+15%** in July, with a steady growth rate in early August at low-teens yoy [2][21] - Average daily parcel volume was around **507 million** in the first 10 days of August [21] 4. **Company-Specific Insights**: - **Alibaba**: Expected to report **+11% yoy** growth in Customer Management Revenue and **23%** growth in cloud revenue, with a focus on AI initiatives [8] - **Pinduoduo (PDD)**: Anticipated **14%** growth in online marketing revenue and **7%** in transaction commission revenue, with discussions around its evolving business model [8] - **JD**: Reported strong **20%+ revenue growth** but faced wider-than-expected losses in new businesses, particularly in food delivery [9] - **Meituan**: Expected to see a decline in core local commerce EBIT due to increased competition and user subsidies [8] 5. **Market Dynamics**: - E-commerce engagement increased by **14% yoy** in July, with JD and Taobao showing strong growth in time spent by users [7] - The competitive landscape is intensifying, particularly in food delivery, impacting profitability across platforms [7] 6. **Future Outlook**: - The industry is projected to maintain a **6% growth** in online GMV by 2025, with parcel volume growth expected at **17%** [2] - The potential peak in food delivery investment/losses is anticipated in the **September 2025** quarter, which may lead to a positive inflection in eCommerce share prices in the second half of 2025 [7] Additional Important Content - **Temu's Performance**: - Temu's U.S. GMV decreased by **20% yoy** in July, but its monthly active users (MAU) rebounded by **41% month-over-month (mom)** after three months of decline [3] - The number of Temu merchants remained flat, indicating stability in merchant engagement [3] - **Regulatory Concerns**: - Temu has been notified of potential violations of the Digital Services Act for not adequately assessing risks related to illegal products sold on its platform [7] - **Consumer Behavior Trends**: - Consumer durables such as home appliances grew by **+28.7% yoy**, while discretionary categories like apparel showed modest growth of **+1.8% yoy** [23] - **Investment Recommendations**: - A defensive sub-sector exposure is recommended due to weaker profit setups for transaction platforms, with preferences for games, mobility, and internet verticals [7] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing insights into the current state and future outlook of the China eCommerce industry and its major players.

Group 1 - Cloudflare, Inc. (NYSE: NET) is expanding its presence in the AI cloud market by promoting the protection of original content from AI players, which enhances its market opportunity [1] - The stock of Cloudflare has appreciated significantly, indicating that it has grown beyond the immediate benefits of its market strategies [1]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the China Internet sector, particularly focusing on mega-cap companies and their upcoming Q2 earnings reports. - It is anticipated that aggregate profits for the China Internet sector will decline by 10% year-over-year (YoY) for the first time since Q2 2022, primarily due to challenges in eCommerce and local services [1][1]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **AI and Cloud Revenue Growth**: - There is an expected sequential acceleration in AI/cloud hyperscaler revenue growth, with Alibaba Cloud projected to grow by 23% YoY, up from 18% in the previous quarter. This growth is attributed to rising demand for AI inference and applications [1][1]. - Comparatively, other cloud services like Google Cloud, Azure, and AWS are expected to grow by 32%, 39%, and 17% respectively during the same period [1][1]. 2. **Profit Declines in Transaction Platforms**: - Significant profit declines are anticipated across major transaction platforms, with Alibaba's EBITA expected to drop by 16% YoY, and Meituan and JD projected to see declines of 58-70% YoY due to increased competition in food delivery and merchant support measures [1][1]. - In contrast, sub-segments such as gaming and mobility are expected to show healthy profit growth, with Tencent's adjusted EBIT growth estimated at 15% YoY [1][1]. 3. **Government Policies and Competition**: - The intensity of food delivery competition is expected to peak in Q3, with a potential for a more fragmented market in the long term. ECommerce players are positioning food delivery as a customer acquisition channel [1][1]. - The report suggests that while competition may moderate in the near term, it will likely extend longer than anticipated, affecting the overall landscape of food delivery services [1][1]. 4. **Company-Specific Expectations**: - **Tencent**: Expected to report Q2 revenue growth of 11% YoY, with adjusted EBIT growth of 15% YoY, driven by solid performance in games and marketing services [1][1]. - **Alibaba**: Anticipated to see a 3% YoY revenue increase in Q1 FY26, with a significant decline in adjusted EBITA by 16% YoY due to investments in food delivery and instant shopping [1][1]. - **PDD**: Projected revenue growth of 11% YoY in Q2, but adjusted EBIT is expected to decline by 38% YoY [1][1]. - **Meituan**: Expected to report a 16% YoY revenue increase, but adjusted EBIT is projected to decline by 58% YoY due to competitive pressures [1][1]. - **JD**: Anticipated revenue growth of 16% YoY, but adjusted EBIT is expected to decline by 70% YoY [1][1]. - **DiDi**: Expected to see revenue growth of 8% YoY, with adjusted EBIT growth of 32% YoY, driven by operational leverage [1][1]. Other Important Insights - The report highlights the ongoing competition in eCommerce, particularly in food delivery and on-demand shopping, with Alibaba's instant shopping volumes reaching 15 million daily [1][1]. - Geopolitical developments and their implications on cross-border business models are also discussed, particularly in light of expanded tariffs and potential delisting risks for ADR companies [1][1]. - The report emphasizes the importance of AI investments and the expected increase in capital expenditures for AI applications in the second half of 2025 [1][1]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing insights into the current state and future outlook of the China Internet sector and its major players.

[Music] Nice meeting you guys. Uh great to be here and uh I'm here to present hyperbolic which is AI cloud for developers. And so my topic is uh why we don't need more data centers.It's like a very eye-catching title. Uh but I what I want to clarify is I still think b building data centers is important but just building data centers alone can solve the problem. So uh wait before we get started uh let me introduce myself.I'm Jasper. I'm the CEO and co-founder of Hyperbolic. Um I did my math PhD at UC Berkele ...

We have a great partnership here that we're announcing today. A young company. A CEO I really like.And he's trying to build a European AI company. The name of the company is Mistral. Today.Today, we're announcing that we're going to build an AI cloud together here to deliver their models, as well as deliver AI applications for the ecosystem of other AI startups so that they can use them as role models or any model that they like. And so, Mistral and us, we're going to be partnering to build a very sizable A ...