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Will the Federal Market Entry Enhance CoreWeave's Competitive Lead?
ZACKS· 2025-12-05 14:51
Core Insights - CoreWeave (CRWV) has experienced a remarkable revenue growth of 134% year-over-year, reaching $1.4 billion in Q3 2025, while its entry into the federal market is a significant development [1][10] Expansion into Federal Market - CoreWeave has launched CoreWeave Federal, aimed at providing AI cloud services to U.S. government agencies and the defense industrial base, ensuring compliance with cybersecurity standards [2] - Early adoption by NASA's Jet Propulsion Lab demonstrates the platform's capabilities and potential for broader use across various federal agencies [3] Market Opportunity - The entry into the public sector expands CoreWeave's addressable market at a time when AI adoption is accelerating, particularly among government agencies focused on an AI-first strategy [4] - CoreWeave ended Q3 with a substantial backlog of $55.6 billion, including $50 billion in Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO), indicating strong future demand [5] Infrastructure and Capacity - CoreWeave operates nearly 590 megawatts of active power and has 2.9 gigawatts of contracted capacity, with over 1 gigawatt available for future sales, making it well-positioned for long-term federal contracts [6] Competitive Landscape - The AI infrastructure market is highly competitive, with established players like Microsoft and emerging companies like Nebius vying for market share [7] - Microsoft has a strong foothold in the public sector with its Azure for US Government, which is tailored for federal workloads and has critical accreditations [11] - Nebius has shown rapid revenue growth of 355% year-over-year, but its federal market penetration is still developing compared to Microsoft [12] Financial Performance - CoreWeave's shares are trading at a Price/Book ratio of 10.8X, significantly higher than the Internet Software industry's ratio of 5.82X, with shares down 19.8% over the past month [14]
Nebius Group N.V.(NBIS) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-11 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q3 group revenue reached $146 million, representing a year-over-year increase of nearly 355% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 39% [7] - Annualized run rate revenue for the core business at the end of September was $551 million, with the core infrastructure business growing 400% year-over-year and 40% sequentially [7] - Adjusted EBITDA margin for the core infrastructure business expanded quarter-over-quarter to nearly 19% [7] - The company raised its 2025 CapEx guidance from approximately $2 billion to around $5 billion, reflecting strong demand outlook [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The core infrastructure business accounted for nearly 90% of total revenue, with significant growth attributed to capacity constraints limiting revenue growth [7] - The company sold out all available capacity in Q3, indicating strong demand for its services [2][7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company signed a major deal with Meta valued at approximately $3 billion over the next five years, following a previous deal with Microsoft valued between $17.4 billion and $19.4 billion [3][12] - The demand environment is described as overwhelming, with a 70% quarter-on-quarter expansion in pipeline generation [22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on building its core AI cloud business while also pursuing large long-term deals to support growth [3][4] - Plans to grow contracted power to 2.5 gigawatts by the end of 2026, up from 1 gigawatt previously discussed [4][10] - The launch of new enterprise-ready cloud platform version 3.0, called Aether, aims to expand the addressable market opportunity [5] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving an annualized run rate revenue of $7 billion to $9 billion by the end of 2026, driven by strong demand and capacity expansion [6][17] - The company remains focused on maintaining healthy margins and a sustainable business model while navigating the AI revolution [42][63] Other Important Information - The company is actively evaluating financing options, including corporate debt, asset-backed financing, and equity, to support aggressive growth plans [8][32] - The company plans to file a prospectus supplement for an at-the-market equity program for up to 25 million Class A shares [8] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you tell us more about the new Meta deal? - The Meta deal is approximately $3 billion, limited by available capacity, indicating potential for larger deals if capacity were available [12][13] Question: What is included in the $7 billion-$9 billion ARR target? - The target includes contracted power and demand from AI startups and enterprises, with more than half already booked [15][17] Question: What is the timeline for infrastructure build-out? - The company is ramping up capacity in various regions, with new data centers expected to come online in 2026 [18][19] Question: How will the Microsoft and Meta deals impact revenue? - Revenue from Microsoft will ramp up in 2026, while Meta's deployments are expected to conclude in the next three months [21] Question: What does the demand environment look like? - Demand is accelerating, with a 70% increase in pipeline generation in Q3 [22] Question: What are the constraints to growing capacity? - The main bottleneck is securing power and supply chain issues, which the company is actively addressing [38] Question: How is the enterprise initiative progressing? - The company is making strides in becoming enterprise-ready, with new functionalities and compliance certifications [48][49] Question: What is the opportunity around the Token Factory? - The Token Factory aims to serve a broader set of customers, enabling enterprises to build AI applications at scale [50][52]
Nebius Group N.V.(NBIS) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-11 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q3 group revenue reached $146 million, representing a year-over-year increase of nearly 355% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 39% [7] - Annualized run rate revenue for the core business at the end of September was $551 million, with the core infrastructure business growing 400% year-over-year and 40% sequentially [7][9] - Adjusted EBITDA margin for the core infrastructure business expanded to nearly 19% quarter-over-quarter [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The core infrastructure business accounted for nearly 90% of total revenue, with significant growth attributed to capacity constraints limiting revenue growth [7][9] - The company sold out all available capacity in Q3, indicating strong demand and a bottleneck in revenue growth due to capacity limitations [2][4] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company signed a major deal with Meta valued at approximately $3 billion over the next five years, following a previous deal with Microsoft valued between $17.4 billion and $19.4 billion [3][12] - The demand environment is characterized by overwhelming interest in capacity, with a 70% quarter-on-quarter expansion in pipeline generation [22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on building its core AI cloud business while also pursuing large long-term deals to support growth [3][4] - Plans to grow contracted power to 2.5 gigawatts by the end of 2026, up from 1 gigawatt previously discussed, with significant investments in capacity and infrastructure [4][10] - The launch of new enterprise-ready cloud platform version 3.0, called Aether, and the inference platform Nebius Token Factory aims to expand the addressable market [5][6] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving an annualized run rate revenue of $7 billion to $9 billion by the end of 2026, driven by strong demand and capacity growth [6][17] - The company remains focused on maintaining healthy margins and a sustainable business model while navigating the rapid growth in the AI sector [42][63] Other Important Information - The company is raising its 2025 CapEx guidance from approximately $2 billion to around $5 billion to support aggressive growth plans [10] - The company is actively evaluating financing options, including corporate debt, asset-backed financing, and equity, to support its growth strategy [8][32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you tell us more about the new Meta deal? - The Meta deal is approximately $3 billion, limited by available capacity, indicating strong demand for larger contracts [12][13] Question: What is included in the $7 billion-$9 billion ARR target? - The target includes contracted power and existing capacity, with more than half already booked [15][17] Question: What is the timeline for infrastructure build-out? - The company is ramping up capacity in various regions, with new data centers expected to come online in 2026 [18][19] Question: How will Microsoft and Meta revenue contribute in 2025? - Microsoft revenue will ramp up in 2026, while Meta is expected to reach full revenue run rate in 2026 [21] Question: What does the demand environment look like? - Demand is accelerating, with a 70% increase in pipeline generation in Q3 [22] Question: Why is incremental ARR down? - Incremental ARR decreased due to capacity constraints, but is expected to increase significantly in Q4 [24] Question: How is the U.K. facility progressing? - The U.K. facility is progressing well, with strong demand leading to pre-sold capacity [35][36] Question: What is the company's approach to financing? - The company is focused on maintaining a disciplined capital structure while exploring various financing options [32][34] Question: How is the enterprise initiative ramping up? - The company is making strides in becoming enterprise-ready with new product launches and compliance certifications [48]
Nebius Group N.V.(NBIS) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-11 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q3 group revenue reached $146 million, representing a year-over-year increase of nearly 355% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 39% [9] - Annualized run rate revenue for the core business at the end of September was $551 million, with the core infrastructure business accounting for nearly 90% of total revenue and growing 400% year-over-year [9] - Adjusted EBITDA margin for the core infrastructure business expanded quarter-over-quarter to nearly 19% [9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The core infrastructure business was the primary driver of revenue growth, with significant contributions from mega deals with Microsoft and Meta [4][9] - The company sold out all available capacity, indicating that revenue growth was limited only by the capacity brought online [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The demand environment in Q3 was described as very strong, with a 70% quarter-on-quarter expansion in pipeline generation [24] - The company expects to achieve a contracted power of 2.5 gigawatts by the end of 2026, up from 1 gigawatt discussed in the previous earnings call [5][11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on building its core AI cloud business while also pursuing large long-term deals with major clients [4][6] - Investments are being made to secure critical infrastructure, including hardware and power, with a CapEx guidance increase from approximately $2 billion to around $5 billion for 2025 [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving an annualized run rate revenue of $7 billion to $9 billion by the end of 2026, driven by strong demand and accelerated capacity growth [6][19] - The company remains focused on maintaining healthy margins and a sustainable business model while navigating the rapidly growing AI market [44] Other Important Information - The company launched its new enterprise-ready cloud platform version 3.0, called Aether, and a new inference platform called Nebius Token Factory, aimed at expanding its addressable market [6] - The company is actively evaluating financing options, including corporate debt, asset-backed financing, and equity, to support its growth plans [10][34] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you tell us more about the new Meta deal? - The new deal with Meta is approximately $3 billion, limited by the capacity available. The company is optimistic about signing more large deals in the future [14] Question: What exactly is in the $7 billion-$9 billion ARR target? - The target includes contracted power and demand from AI startups and enterprises, with more than half already booked [17][19] Question: What gives you confidence that you can reach your 2.5 gigawatts goal of contracted capacity? - The company is ramping up capacity in various regions, including the U.K. and Israel, and has secured a roadmap for 2.5 gigawatts of power [20][21] Question: How should we think about revenue contribution from Microsoft and Meta deals for this year and going forward? - Revenue from Microsoft will ramp up in 2026, while Meta's deployments are expected to conclude in the next three months, with full revenue run rate anticipated in 2026 [22] Question: What does the overall demand environment look like in Q4 and into the next year? - The demand profile is accelerating, with a significant increase in pipeline generation and strong confidence in future growth [24] Question: How are you thinking about CapEx and what is your philosophy on CapEx spending? - The company plans to secure as much capacity as possible, with a focus on building infrastructure in line with visible demand [27][29] Question: Is there any chance that GPUs are oversupplied in the coming year? - The company believes the market will remain supply constrained at least until 2026, with a conservative approach to capital spending [65]