朋友們2025年10月3日 華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看 我們發現比特幣 好像還是真的有那麼一點強勢 目前它還沒有來到ALL TIME HIGH的地方 好像還差那麼一點點 但是它確實已經來到了之前的次前高 我們可以看一下往上面來了一下 就差一點點會不會繼續往上漲 會不會就此掉頭往下跌好吧 這個是我們今天要討論的話題 那麼昨天的時候比特幣其實還在這邊 然後今天就漲了上來 那麼原先我們是有兩種可能性 那麼上周末的時候我是覺得得b往下面跌 跌到這樣的一個位置的時候 很多人可能會認為 還要再繼續往下面跌一下 我之前在行情往下面跌的時候 我是覺得如果說把下面跌破可能會更好 但是來到這邊的時候 出現了這樣的一根k線 也就是出現了比較大的一根大陽線之後 而且我也看到往下面跌的時候 陰線的成交量是幾乎沒有了 然後出現了一根反反彈 這個時候我會認為 它有可能會繼續反彈兩個目標位 一個目標位是0.786% 這邊的加特利形態 然後反轉 第二個就是這樣子的 那麼我會認為 它有可能在這邊反彈了一點點 我就會覺得它有可能會來到奧特曼 那麼目前這個禮拜它是怎麼走的呢 他就是這樣子 現在走到這 ...

Market Analysis & Predictions - The analysis suggests a potential "trap" at the parallel highs, indicating a possible short-term downward movement before a potential upward surge [1] - The analyst anticipates a possible B-wave pullback in Bitcoin's price, but remains confident in reaching higher levels [1] - The analyst estimates a 75%-80% probability of Bitcoin revisiting its all-time high [1] - Ethereum shows signs of a potential breakout, but a failure to sustain upward momentum could lead to further consolidation [1] - The analyst identifies the 2900 level as a critical resistance for Ethereum, with a successful breakthrough potentially leading to new all-time highs [1][2] Technical Indicators & Observations - A "morning star" candlestick pattern on Bitcoin's daily chart suggests a potential bottom, but the analyst expresses caution due to the context and lower trading volume [1] - The analyst points out a gap in the 4-hour chart of Bitcoin, suggesting a possible retest of lower levels [1] - The analyst notes a decrease in open interest during Bitcoin's consolidation phase, coupled with bearish divergence, indicating potential downward pressure [1] - Ethereum's recent price action shows a "cross star", with substantial trading volume, which could signal potential exhaustion of the uptrend if the price retraces [1] Exchange Recommendation - Bybit is recommended as the most suitable exchange for technical analysis, while Binance is preferred for spot trading due to its 40% fee reduction [2]

Market Analysis - Bitcoin's weekly chart shows a strong bullish signal after breaking previous lows to fill gaps, primarily aiming to liquidate leveraged positions [1] - The analysis suggests a potential ABC three-wave pattern with a C-wave target around $110,000 (11万) or even retesting the all-time high, contingent on the strength of the A-wave and funding rates [1] - Ethereum's (以太) price action is currently lagging behind Bitcoin, suggesting it's being driven more by Bitcoin's momentum than its own intrinsic strength [2] Trading Strategy - The analyst advises against shorting Bitcoin when the funding rate is negative, as this often precedes further upward movement [1] - The analyst suggests considering long positions on Bitcoin during pullbacks, especially near the daily chart's support levels, potentially around the 618% or 66% Fibonacci retracement levels [2] - The analyst suggests caution if Bitcoin quickly approaches and breaks the all-time high with high volume, indicating a potential fakeout and subsequent correction [2] Risk Assessment - The analyst expresses concern about a potential fake breakout at the all-time high, especially if accompanied by high trading volume, which could lead to a significant pullback [2] - The analyst notes that Ethereum (以太) may not be a strong buy currently due to its underperformance compared to Bitcoin and its dependence on Bitcoin's price action [2]