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Tesla(TSLA) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-01-28 23:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, automotive margins improved sequentially from 15.4% to 17.9%, despite a 16% decrease in deliveries [20] - Total gross margin ended the quarter at over 20.1%, a level not achieved in the last two years [22] - Net income was negatively impacted by mark-to-market charges on Bitcoin holdings, which depreciated by 23% compared to the last quarter [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Automotive gross profit remained flat sequentially despite lower deliveries, primarily due to a favorable regional mix with more deliveries in APAC and EMEA [20] - Energy revenue reached nearly $12.8 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 26.6%, driven by high deployments in all regions [21] - Services and others margin declined from 10.5% to 8.8%, mainly due to higher employee-related costs in service centers [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Record deliveries were achieved in smaller countries like Malaysia, Norway, Poland, Saudi Arabia, and Taiwan, contributing to a larger backlog than in recent years [19] - FSD adoption improved, reaching nearly 1.1 million paid customers globally, with about 70% being upfront purchases [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is making significant investments in AI chips, battery production, and solar cell manufacturing, indicating a strategic shift towards autonomy and robotics [4][5] - The production of Model S and X will be phased out to focus on the development of Optimus robots, with a long-term goal of producing 1 million units annually [6][14] - The company aims to achieve 100 gigawatts a year of solar cell production, integrating across the entire supply chain [13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the future, highlighting the potential for universal high income driven by advancements in AI and robotics [2][3] - The company anticipates significant growth in energy and autonomous vehicle markets, despite challenges such as margin compression from increased competition and policy uncertainties [21][25] - Management emphasized the importance of capital efficiency in their investment strategy, with a projected CapEx exceeding $20 billion for the year [24][25] Other Important Information - The company is transitioning to a subscription-based model for FSD, which may impact automotive margins in the short term [20] - Operating expenses increased due to higher stock-based compensation and investments in AI-related initiatives [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is Tesla's view on the global car sales number in relation to its Robotaxi ambition? - Tesla believes that autonomy and Cybercab will significantly change the global market size and mix, with expectations of substantial growth in the autonomous segment [27][28] Question: Are there plans to launch new models for different price segments? - Tesla has launched its least expensive models recently and continues to expand globally, aiming to provide a premium ride experience through Cybercab [32][33] Question: What is the current bottleneck for increasing Robotaxi deployment? - The company is focused on scaling the Robotaxi service while learning from the fleet's performance, with unsupervised service already initiated in Austin [40][41] Question: What are the constraints on memory procurement? - Tesla's AI is designed to be memory efficient, and while there are near-term constraints, the company has solutions for scaling over the next three years [89][90]