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Bath & Body Works Faces Structural Headwinds: What Lies Ahead?
Benzinga· 2025-11-25 12:57
Bath & Body Works (NYSE:BBWI) has been under pressure for a while, and its latest earnings only deepen the concerns. EPS slipped to $0.37 from $0.49, and management now expects a single-digit decline in net sales driven by softer consumer demand. To understand why this weakness is emerging now, and why it may persist, we'll look at the stock through the lens of the Adhishthana Principles. Analysing Bath & Body Works' TriadsBBWI is currently in Phase 18, the final phase of its Adhishthana cycle on the weekly ...
Why Stryker Stock May Be Headed For A Prolonged Slowdown
Benzinga· 2025-11-17 12:48
Stryker Corporation (NYSE:SYK) is currently in Phase 8 of its 18-phase Adhishthana cycle on the weekly charts, and the stock has just broken its Cakra formation. This is a major bearish development within the framework and suggests a prolonged period of underperformance. Here's what went wrong and what investors should prepare for.Stryker's Cakra Formation BreakdownAccording to the Adhishthana Principles, stocks typically form a Cakra structure between Phases 4–8. This structure, shaped like a channel or ar ...
Nebius Group Shares: Why The Rally May Not Hold Up
Benzinga· 2025-11-13 11:50
Core Insights - Nebius Group's stock has experienced a significant rally from $18 to $140 since April 2023, but this may not indicate long-term value based on the Adhishthana Principles [1] Group 1: Adhishthana Cycle Analysis - Nebius Group is currently in Phase 17 of its 18-phase Adhishthana Cycle, with Phases 14, 15, and 16 forming the Guna Triads that are critical for determining the potential for a Nirvana move in Phase 18 [2] - The stock has shown sharp bearishness and consolidation during its triad phases, declining nearly 83%, indicating that a Nirvana move in Phase 18 is unlikely [5] - Phase 17 is identified as a no-trade phase, suggesting that any rallies should not be pursued [6] Group 2: Future Projections - The transition to Phase 18 is expected in December 2025, which historically leads to sluggish or range-bound trading for such triad structures [6] - Recent stock retracement from $140 to $94 indicates potential exhaustion in the rally [6] - The company's recent earnings report shows a 153% widening of losses, further suggesting that the rally may be losing momentum [7] Group 3: Investor Outlook - The poor triad formation implies that the recent surge lacks structural strength, and the stock is likely to trade with a bearish bias and extended consolidation until at least mid-2027 [8] - While new deals with Meta could enhance business fundamentals, a cyclical cooling off is anticipated before any significant upside can be realized [9] - Investors are advised to wait for the rally to stabilize and seek value opportunities once the cycle resets [9]
Why Castle Biosciences' Rally Might Just Be Getting Started
Benzinga· 2025-11-05 13:02
Core Insights - Castle Biosciences (NASDAQ:CSTL) experienced a rally of over 20% following a strong Q3 performance, indicating positive momentum in the stock [1] - The stock is currently in Phase 8 according to the Adhishthana Principles, having entered Phase 4 in August 2022, and is building a Cakra formation [3][5] - The stock is approaching the upper boundary of the Cakra structure, with two potential scenarios for its trajectory before transitioning into Phase 9 in January 2026 [5] Weekly Chart Analysis - The Cakra structure typically forms between Phases 4–8 and suggests bullish implications, with a breakout in Phase 9 leading to strong momentum [2] - As the stock moves through Phase 8, it has rebounded from the lower end of the Cakra and is preparing for a potential breakout [5] - Two scenarios are outlined: a rally to test the $35 level followed by a slight retracement before breaking out, or a premature breakout gaining strength in Phase 9 [5] Monthly Chart Analysis - On the monthly charts, Castle Biosciences is currently in Phase 2, which consists of the Sankhya period (consolidation or weakness) and the Buddhi period (powerful rallies) [6] - The company is in the Sankhya phase and is expected to transition into the Buddhi period in December 2025, coinciding with an anticipated increase in bullish momentum [7] Investor Outlook - For current shareholders, maintaining bullish positions is favorable, especially as momentum is expected to build once the stock surpasses the $35 mark [8] - Investors looking to enter new positions have an opportunity to accumulate shares through November, using the lower end of the Cakra as a stop-loss [8] - The overall setup indicates that Castle's base is firming up, suggesting a potential rally ahead [8]
Roblox After Earnings: Game On Or Game Over?
Benzinga· 2025-11-04 11:43
Core Insights - Roblox's stock fell over 15% following its earnings release, indicating potential margin pressures [1] - The stock is currently in Phase 2 of the Adhishthana cycle, specifically in the initial Sankhya period, which is expected to last until August 2027 [2] - The previous sharp rebound from around $50 to $150 was not a true structural rally according to the Adhishthana framework, lacking foundational timing alignment [4] Phase Analysis - Phase 2 consists of two parts: the Sankhya period, characterized by consolidation and sluggish performance, and the Buddhi period, known for strong rallies [6] - The current setup for Roblox appears uncertain due to margin pressures and being in the Sankhya period, where rallies often reverse or lose momentum [8] - The ideal structural setup for a sustained bullish run would resemble CIENA's recent performance, which has rallied approximately 34% [5] Investor Outlook - Roblox may remain range-bound or consolidative until the Buddhi period begins, suggesting that adding exposure before the conclusion of the Sankhya period may be premature [9] - Institutional funds continue to hold Roblox at overweight positions, but volatility and a broad consolidation bias with a tilt toward weakness are expected for current holders [9]
Builders FirstSource (NYSE:BLDR) Faces Volatility Amid Market Challenges
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-11-03 21:10
Company Overview - Builders FirstSource (NYSE:BLDR) is a leading supplier of building materials and manufactured components for residential and commercial construction, operating across the United States [1] - The company competes with other industry players like Home Depot and Lowe's, which also supply building materials and related services [1][6] Stock Performance - As of the latest update, the stock price of BLDR is $113.21, reflecting a decrease of approximately 2.55%, with fluctuations between a low of $111.66 and a high of $114.86 during the trading day [3] - The stock has experienced significant volatility, having dropped nearly 50% from its all-time highs, which were recorded at $194.36 [2][3][6] - D.A. Davidson has set a price target of $115 for BLDR, suggesting a modest upside potential of approximately 1.15% [2][6] Earnings and Market Capitalization - Despite the recent decline in stock price, the company reported earnings per share that exceeded expectations, capturing investor interest [2] - Builders FirstSource has a market capitalization of approximately $12.52 billion, with a trading volume of 536,707 shares on the NYSE [5] Technical Analysis - According to the Adhishthana Principles, Builders FirstSource is currently in Phase 9 of its 18-phase cycle, a critical phase that often determines future stock performance [4] - Historically, stocks form a Cakra structure between Phases 4-8, which is typically bullish; however, BLDR fell below the Cakra as it moved into Phase 8, indicating potential challenges ahead [4][5] - A successful breakout in Phase 9 could lead to the Himalayan Formation, signaling the start of a strong bullish rally [5]
Builders FirstSource: Foundation Looks Weak Despite Earnings Beat
Benzinga· 2025-11-03 12:11
Core Viewpoint - Builders FirstSource (NYSE:BLDR) has seen its stock price decline nearly 50% from its all-time highs, despite reporting better-than-expected earnings per share, indicating potential structural risks that may keep the stock under pressure [1][7]. Group 1: Adhishthana Cycle Analysis - The stock is currently in Phase 9 of its 18-phase Adhishthana cycle, a critical phase that often determines whether strength or weakness will prevail [2]. - Builders FirstSource entered Phase 4 in December 2021 and traded within its Cakra structure until Phase 7, but broke down below the Cakra in Phase 8, triggering a significant bearish signal known as the Move of Pralaya [4][6]. - A breakdown of the Cakra typically indicates deeper foundational issues within the company, rather than just short-term volatility [8]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Despite a stronger earnings per share report, the underlying trend suggests potential underperformance until the stock reaches its Guna Triads (Phases 14, 15, and 16) [7]. - The company's net income has fallen nearly 57% compared to the same period last year, which aligns with the structural signals indicated by the Adhishthana framework [7].
Stride Slips After Earnings, But Can It Regain Footing?
Benzinga· 2025-10-30 12:40
Stride (NYSE:LRN) made headlines after plunging over 50% in a single day, following a weak financial forecast that hinted at slowing growth. When analyzed under the Adhishthana Principles, a clear picture emerges of why the stock collapsed, and what may lie ahead. Stride and Its Weekly ChartsAccording to the Adhishthana Principles, stocks typically form a Cakra structure between Phases 4-8, a channel-like pattern with an upward arc that often carries bullish implications. A clean breakout in Phase 9 signals ...
Is Bank of Hawaii Stock A Buy After Earnings?
Benzinga· 2025-10-29 12:08
Core Viewpoint - Bank of Hawaii reported strong Q3 results with an EPS of $1.20, up from $1.06 in the previous quarter, and a 7.1% annualized increase in average deposit balances, but the long-term outlook is less optimistic when analyzed through the Adhishthana Principles [1][6] Financial Performance - The Q3 EPS of Bank of Hawaii was $1.20, an increase from $1.06 in the previous quarter [1] - There was a 7.1% annualized increase in average deposit balances [1] Adhishthana Cycle Analysis - Bank of Hawaii is in Phase 18 of the 18-phase Adhishthana cycle, which is crucial for determining the stock's trajectory [2] - The Guna Triads (Phases 14, 15, and 16) are essential for achieving Nirvana, the highest point in the cycle, but the absence of noticeable Satoguna indicates that Nirvana is unlikely [2][4] - The stock fell nearly 63% during Phases 14 and 15, with Phase 16 characterized by sideways trading, indicating weak triads [4] Future Outlook - Since entering Phase 18 in June 2024, Bank of Hawaii has traded in a tight, sluggish range, which is expected to continue until the phase concludes on December 15, 2025 [5] - The weak triad formation suggests limited upside potential until the current cycle ends, and investors may want to wait for the cycle reset to reassess entry opportunities [6]
Global Payments Stock: Why Investors Should Stay Cautious
Benzinga· 2025-10-28 09:40
Group 1 - Global Payments is currently in the final leg of its Phase 16, with a negative outlook as it approaches Phase 17, which is considered a no-trade zone [1][9] - The stock entered Phase 4 in 2017 and traded within a Cakra structure until Phase 8, but failed to break out positively in Phase 9, leading to a bearish phase known as the Move of Pralaya [2][3] - The stock has experienced a decline of over 50% by the time it reached Phase 13, transitioning into its Guna Triads (Phases 14, 15, and 16) without showing signs of bullish momentum [5][9] Group 2 - For a Nirvana move to occur in Phase 18, the Guna Triads must exhibit Satoguna, which has been absent in Global Payments' case, ruling out any possibility of a Nirvana move [6][9] - The stock's underperformance is expected to continue until at least November 2027, with any short-term rallies likely to be temporary [9][10] - The fundamental outlook for Global Payments shifted negatively after breaking its Cakra in Phase 9, reinforcing a bearish bias due to the lack of meaningful strength during its triads [10]