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DoorDash Stock Rallies 30% in One Year: Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell?
ZACKS· 2025-12-09 17:31
Core Insights - DoorDash (DASH) shares have increased by 29.7% over the past 12 months, outperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector's growth of 27.2% [1] - The growth is driven by strong order growth, rising Marketplace Gross Order Value (GOV), improved logistics efficiency, and increased advertising contributions [1] Company Performance - Total orders for DoorDash rose by 21% year over year to 776 million in Q3 2025, while Marketplace GOV increased by 25% year over year to $25 billion, indicating robust demand [2] - For Q4 2025, DoorDash anticipates Marketplace GOV to be between $28.9 billion and $29.5 billion, with 2025 revenue estimates significantly rising [9][10] Partnerships and Expansions - DoorDash is expanding its partner network, which includes notable companies like Old Navy, Family Dollar, Waymo, Kroger, and McDonald's, enhancing its service offerings and market reach [5] - A new partnership with Family Dollar was announced in November 2025 to provide on-demand delivery from approximately 7,000 stores nationwide [6] - In October 2025, DoorDash partnered with Waymo to test an autonomous delivery service in Metro Phoenix, with plans to expand the service later [7] - A new online ordering experience was launched with McDonald's, allowing customers to order McDelivery directly via mobile web or desktop [8] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DoorDash's earnings in 2025 is $2.23 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 668.97% despite an 8.23% decrease over the past 30 days [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 revenues is projected at $13.75 billion, indicating a year-over-year increase of 28.28% [11] Competitive Landscape - DoorDash faces increasing competition from local food delivery platforms like Uber Technologies and Amazon, which are also expanding their delivery services [12] - Amazon's Prime membership program continues to enhance its delivery ecosystem, offering faster delivery options [13] - Uber Technologies reported a 29% year-over-year increase in its Delivery segment, highlighting the competitive pressure in the market [14] Valuation Concerns - DoorDash shares are considered overvalued, with a trailing 12-month Price/Book ratio of 10.23, exceeding the Internet - Services industry's average of 7.92 [15] - The current valuation concerns, along with intense competition and a fragmented market, may pressure margins [17]
DASH Total Order Growth Picks Up: Is the Growth Thesis Strengthening?
ZACKS· 2025-11-25 18:46
Core Insights - DoorDash (DASH) is experiencing significant growth, with total orders increasing by 21% year over year to 776 million in Q3 2025, driven by a large customer base and enhanced consumer engagement [1][11] Customer Acquisition and Engagement - The company's success in attracting new customers across various categories, including restaurants, grocery, and retail, has been crucial for total order growth [2] - The growth in total orders is also attributed to an increase in monthly active users (MAUs) and the expansion of membership programs like DashPass and Wolt+, which reached record levels in Q3 2025 [3] Strategic Partnerships and Innovations - DoorDash is investing in expanding its partner base to enhance express grocery delivery services, further solidifying its position in the on-demand delivery market [4] - In October, DoorDash announced a partnership with Waymo to test an autonomous delivery service in Metro Phoenix, along with a promotional offer for DashPass members [5] Competitive Landscape - DoorDash faces increasing competition from local food delivery platforms such as Uber Technologies and Amazon, which are also seeking to expand their market presence [6] - Amazon's Prime membership program continues to provide significant advantages in delivery speed and convenience, while Uber's Delivery segment has seen a 29% year-over-year increase in Q3 2025 [7][8] Financial Performance and Valuation - DoorDash's shares have increased by 12.2% year-to-date, underperforming compared to the Zacks Internet - Services industry's growth of 54.1% and the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector's growth of 21.1% [9] - The company's current Price/Book ratio stands at 8.54, which is higher than the industry's 7.31X, indicating that the shares may be overvalued [12] - For 2025, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is $2.25 per share, reflecting a 9.27% decrease over the past 30 days but a year-over-year increase of 675.86% [14]