Beverage Innovation
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PEP vs. CELH: Which Beverage Stock Is the Better Bet Now?
ZACKS· 2025-11-26 14:32
Core Insights - The beverage industry is witnessing a shift towards healthier, performance-oriented drinks, with PepsiCo and Celsius Holdings emerging as key players to monitor [1] Company Overview - PepsiCo has a market capitalization of approximately $200 billion and offers a diverse range of products, including soft drinks, sports hydration, teas, coffees, and snacks, providing significant breadth in the beverage and food categories [2] - Celsius Holdings, valued at around $10.4 billion, is rapidly growing in the performance-energy sector, driven by its clean-label, fitness-oriented CELSIUS product line that appeals to health-conscious consumers [2] Growth and Performance - PepsiCo's growth is characterized by consistent top-line gains, bolstered by improving beverage sales and stabilizing trends in convenient foods, with international operations showing mid-single-digit organic growth for over four years [4][7] - Celsius Holdings reported a remarkable 173% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3 2025, driven by strong performance across its brands, capturing over 20% of the U.S. energy drink market [8] Strategic Partnerships - Celsius's growth is significantly supported by its partnership with PepsiCo, which enhances its distribution and visibility in the market [9][10] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PepsiCo's current fiscal-year sales indicates a 1.8% year-over-year increase, while Celsius Holdings is projected to achieve approximately 80% growth in both sales and EPS for the current fiscal year [13][16] Stock Performance - Over the past year, PepsiCo's shares have decreased by 9.9%, while Celsius Holdings has seen a 46.4% increase, reflecting investor confidence in Celsius's growth potential in the energy drink category [19] Valuation Metrics - PepsiCo's forward P/E ratio is 17.12, indicating it is fairly valued for a stable business, while Celsius Holdings has a forward P/E of 27.08, suggesting it is trading at a relative discount compared to its recent growth-driven valuation [20][22] Investment Outlook - Both companies present unique strengths: Celsius with its rapid growth and PepsiCo with its established portfolio and reliable execution. However, PepsiCo is viewed as the better investment option currently due to its stability and predictable growth trajectory [23][24]
Beverage Industry Shifts: What Coca-Cola Must Do to Stay Ahead
ZACKS· 2025-10-06 17:21
Core Insights - The global beverage industry is experiencing a transformation due to health awareness, changing consumer preferences, and technological advancements, prompting The Coca-Cola Company to redefine its portfolio and expand beyond traditional sodas to become a total beverage company [1] Product Strategy - Coca-Cola is focusing on healthier options, including low and no-sugar products, energy drinks, coffee, and beverages with functional ingredients, with brands like Coca-Cola Zero Sugar, Diet Coke, and fairlife dairy-based beverages showing strong growth in Q2 2025 [2] - Innovations such as Sprite + Tea have been launched to enhance product offerings, contributing to a higher share of visible inventory and building on recent successes under the Sprite trademark [3] Marketing and Engagement - Initiatives like Coca-Cola Creations and digital-first campaigns under the "Real Magic" platform are driving consumer engagement and brand differentiation, positioning Coca-Cola as a total beverage company with a resilient strategy that integrates marketing, innovation, and revenue growth management [4] Competitive Landscape - Key competitors include PepsiCo and Monster Beverage, both of which are adapting their portfolios to align with consumer preferences for health and functionality [5][6][7] Financial Performance - Coca-Cola shares have gained 7.1% year to date, outperforming the industry's growth of 1.3% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 21.11X, higher than the industry average of 17.37X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Coca-Cola's EPS indicates year-over-year growth of 3.1% for 2025 and 8.2% for 2026, with stable estimates over the past 30 days [11]
Will New Beverage Innovation Revive Starbucks' U.S. Comparable Sales?
ZACKS· 2025-08-19 15:36
Core Insights - Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) is experiencing challenges in its U.S. market, with comparable sales declining by 2% in Q3 of fiscal 2025, indicating a need for significant menu innovation to attract customers [1][11] - The company's "Back to Starbucks" strategy aims to enhance beverage offerings in line with consumer trends towards health, customization, and premium experiences, setting 2026 as a pivotal year for innovation [2][11] Innovation Strategy - A notable product launch is the protein cold foam, which adds 15 grams of protein to cold beverages and has shown strong demand, contributing to a 23% year-over-year growth in Cold Foam [3] - Starbucks is also exploring coconut water-based drinks, gluten-free and high-protein food options, and a new artisanal baked goods line to appeal to a broader customer base throughout the day [3][4] - The innovation process incorporates barista feedback to ensure new products can be executed efficiently, aiming to enhance both menu excitement and in-store experience [4] Competitive Landscape - Competitors like McDonald's and Dutch Bros Coffee are intensifying their beverage innovation strategies, with McDonald's expanding its McCafé offerings at competitive prices and Dutch Bros appealing to younger consumers with customizable drinks [6][7] - Starbucks must balance differentiation and broad appeal in its upcoming beverage innovations to counteract the competitive pressures and revive U.S. comparable sales [8] Financial Performance - Starbucks shares have decreased by 18.4% over the past six months, compared to a 7.6% decline in the industry [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a projected decline of 32.6% in fiscal 2025 EPS, with a subsequent expected rise of 22.4% in 2026 [13] - Currently, Starbucks trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 2.7, which is below the industry average of 3.81 [15]