America could suffer some 42,500 excess deaths annually by 2034 as a result of Donald Trump’s Big Beautiful Bill, researchers estimate. That is more people than currently die of breast cancer https://t.co/fOdjBowuCs ...

Yara International ASA (OTCPK:YARIY) Q2 2025 Q&A Conference Call July 18, 2025 7:00 AM ET Company Participants Dag Tore Mo - Head of Market Intelligence Magnus Krogh Ankarstrand - EVP & CFO Maria Gabrielsen - Head of Investor Relations Svein Tore Holsether - President & CEO Conference Call Participants Andrew Noel - Unidentified Company Angelina Glazova - JPMorgan Chase & Co, Research Division Aron Ceccarelli - Joh. Berenberg, Gossler & Co. KG, Research Division Bengt Jonassen - ABG Sundal Collier Holding A ...

Still confused about the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA)? The IRS has issued some initial guidance with respect to new provisions that take effect for 2025. https://t.co/2m8185uPKS https://t.co/2m8185uPKS ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to companies such as Caterpillar (CAT), CNH Industrial (CNH), and Cummins (CMI), while some companies like AGCO are rated "Neutral" [5][137]. Core Insights - The report suggests that global equipment markets may bottom in 2025, particularly for agricultural machinery, with a cautious optimism for recovery in truck and construction markets [12][18]. - The "Big Beautiful Bill" is viewed positively for machinery fundamentals, with provisions supporting equipment demand and domestic industrial activity [29][33]. - Tariff impacts are expected to have a significant influence on demand and margins, with potential upside for companies in the second half of 2025 as tariff rates stabilize [21][23]. Key Machinery Themes - Agricultural machinery has outperformed other sectors, attributed to a cycle trough in global demand [6]. - Machinery stocks are currently not pricing in tariff concerns, although demand uncertainty remains prevalent [8]. - The report anticipates a decline in North American large agricultural sales in 2026 due to high new machine prices and elevated used inventories [16]. Construction - The outlook for non-residential construction spending remains stable, supported by mega project backlogs growing at a ~17% CAGR from 2024-2029 [38]. - Contractor profit margins have improved slightly, but project cancellations due to tariffs have increased significantly [45][48]. - The report expects global construction equipment sales volume to bottom in 2025, with a recovery anticipated in 2026 [50]. Mining and Oil & Gas - The mining equipment outlook is stable, with solid expectations for mining capex and miner EBITDA, driven by strong commodity prices [61]. - The oil and gas sector faces challenges with falling crude prices, leading to a weak near-term outlook for upstream spending [67]. NA Rental - The rental equipment market is expected to see steady growth, with total URI rental revenue growth projected at 4.0% in 2025 [73]. - The industry has consolidated, with the top 10 players now accounting for ~40% of the market, leading to better pricing discipline [78]. - NA rental penetration is above pre-pandemic levels, with specialty rental areas identified as key growth opportunities [80]. Ag Equipment - The US grain market is stabilizing but remains relatively depressed, with high new machinery prices impacting farmer sentiment [85][90]. - The report anticipates a slight decline in North American large agricultural sales in 2026, with a potential recovery in 2027 [92]. - Positive trends are noted in Europe and South America, with expectations for growth in agricultural sales in those regions [95][98]. Commercial Vehicles - The commercial vehicle market shows weak freight fundamentals, with spot rates remaining depressed [111]. - Class 8 tractor inventories are in reasonable shape, but overall market conditions suggest a weak outlook [113]. - The report indicates that pre-buying expectations for 2026 may be overly optimistic due to ongoing market weakness [120]. Short Cycle - Industrial PMIs have retreated, indicating a choppy macro backdrop, but there is cautious optimism for recovery in 2026 [126]. - Demand remains stable, but recent order traction may have been influenced by tariff pre-buying [128]. - Companies in the automation space are showing positive forward commentary, indicating potential growth despite uncertainty [131].

The Big Beautiful Bill is symptomatic of a wider malaise https://t.co/PystFXVDLf ...

大家好，关注一下特朗普跟马斯克闹翻之后的最新进展。 特朗普警告马斯克 6月8日，美国总统特朗普表示，如果埃隆·马斯克资助民主党候选人，对那些支持共和党大规模预算法 案的共和党议员进行打击，他将面临"严重后果"。 特朗普在接受电话采访时表示："如果他这么做，他将不得不为此承担后果。"但他拒绝透露这些后果具 体是什么。 特朗普还表示，他无意修复与马斯克之间的关系，此前两人之间的矛盾本周已在公众面前公开爆发。 当被问及是否希望修复关系时，特朗普回答："不。" 当被问到是否认为他与马斯克的关系已彻底破裂时，特朗普说："我想是的。" 特朗普也在周四通过Truth Social平台进行了回应。他在一则帖子中写道："我不介意埃隆反对我，但他 本应该几个月前就这么做了。"暗示马斯克早已知晓这项法案的内容。 他还写道："在我们的预算中节省数十亿美元最简单的方法，就是终止埃隆所获得的政府补贴和合同。 我一直很惊讶拜登没有这么做！"这里指的是SpaceX与联邦政府签署的合同。 这是两人本周在X平台和Truth Social上互相威胁和攻击以来，特朗普发表的最为详细的评论。他还表 示，尽管两人决裂，但他认为共和党现在比以往任何时候都 ...