Black Swan Event

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SharpLink Treasury Push Will Be 'White Swan Event' for Ethereum Adoption, Says CEO
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-11 14:20
SharpLink Gaming's co-CEO is pushing back on concerns that the crypto treasury trend will negatively impact the industry, telling Decrypt that it will not be the black swan event that drags down the crypto market this cycle, akin to the FTX collapse of the past. Rather, the recently appointed leader for the publicly traded company—which has rapidly amassed over $3.7 billion worth of Ethereum—believes it will be a positive "white swan event" that brings institutional ETH adoption to levels never seen before ...
美国8月ISM制造业PMI仍处于荣枯线之下
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-02 15:13
9月2日公布的数据显示,美国8月ISM制造业PMI从前值48微升至48.7,不及预期值49,仍然处于荣枯线以 下。 美国最新的8月ISM制造业PMI表明美国制造业仍然处于收缩状态。这是美国经济处于下行趋势的又一个佐 证。 与此同时,特朗普总统的关税政策给美国经济进一步增加了不确定性。这在一定程度上进一步加大了美国经 济的下行压力。 笔者认为,当前美国经济并非某些经济数据所显示的那样健康,如果再叠加"黑天鹅事件"的负面冲击,那么 美国经济的前景堪忧。 JerryZang 免责声明:本文内容及观点仅供参考,不构成任何投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。一切有关市场的 准确信息,请以相关官方公告为准。市场有风险,投资需谨慎。 在如此的经济形势下,近期公布的美国就业市场数据也出现了恶化的趋势。这在一定程度上支撑美联储在9 月重启降息。 然而,即便美联储未来小幅降息,又能够在多大程度上支撑美国经济的增长,市场对此充满了怀疑。 ...
AI Black Swan Event? 💀💀
Alex Kantrowitz· 2025-06-29 16:30
AI could create a black swan if it's too successful. It's going to create PhD level workers at a cost that breaks all economic models. What is the value of our work if something that is not us can do it better.And then if it's combined with like a robot, then it can complete all tasks that never tires, never needs vacation. It'll outperform every human. And in that world, and of course, if it gets sentient, then it really is a threat to our modern civilization.Or it could even make the definition of money u ...
Google's Black Swan Event and a 25% Loss: ETFs to Consider
ZACKS· 2025-06-04 17:31
Core Viewpoint - Alphabet's shares have experienced significant volatility in 2025, reflecting broader market trends, with a notable 37% increase in 2024 followed by an 8.9% rise in early 2025, before a sharp decline of around 30% in February due to escalating trade tensions [1][2]. Company Performance - By April 2025, Alphabet's shares rebounded, gaining 17% as of June 2, following easing trade tensions, and the company holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) with a strong Growth Score of A [2]. - The company faces uncertainty due to ongoing antitrust legal proceedings, with the Department of Justice concluding arguments that could have significant implications for Alphabet [3][4]. Legal Challenges - Alphabet lost a landmark antitrust case in August 2024, with a ruling that it illegally monopolized the search engine market, leading to potential drastic consequences for the company [4]. - Analysts predict that if a divestiture of the Chrome browser is ordered, Alphabet's shares could drop by 15% to 25%, and its earnings per share (EPS) could decrease by up to 30% due to Chrome's substantial user base of 4 billion and its contribution of 35% to Alphabet's search revenues [4][5]. Settlement and Compliance - Alphabet has agreed to a $500 million settlement to change its compliance structure as part of a resolution to a shareholder lawsuit alleging antitrust violations, with additional legal fees potentially reaching $80 million [7]. Investment Opportunities - The legal developments surrounding Alphabet are expected to create short-term volatility in its shares, prompting interest in ETFs with significant exposure to the company [8]. - Several ETFs with notable exposure to Alphabet include: - IShares Global Comm Services ETF with 11.97% exposure and an asset base of $415.5 million [9]. - Fidelity MSCI Communication Services Index ETF with 12.50% exposure and an asset base of $1.49 billion [11]. - Vanguard Communication Services ETF with 12.49% exposure and an asset base of $4.74 billion [12]. - MicroSectors FANG+ ETN with 9.74% exposure and an asset base of $445.9 million [13]. - Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund with 8.71% exposure and an asset base of $21.82 billion [14].