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Berkshire can't keep up with the S&P since Buffett's retirement
Finbold· 2025-07-17 08:46
Core Insights - Berkshire Hathaway is underperforming the broader market by nearly 23 percentage points since Warren Buffett announced his retirement as CEO, with Class A shares declining 12.66% while the S&P 500 rose 9.93% [1][4][7] - Investor hesitation regarding Berkshire's future leadership under Greg Abel, who will take over in January 2026, is evident as the market no longer views the company as a stable investment [2][5] - The company's historical outperformance is now in question, as the leadership transition from Buffett to Abel raises concerns about the replicability of past successes [3][5] Performance Analysis - Since Buffett's retirement announcement, Berkshire has not participated in the broader market rally, marking one of its worst relative performances in recent memory [4][6] - The company's conservative cash reserves, approximately $150 billion, have underperformed in a strong bull market, contributing to the widening performance gap [6][7] - The psychological impact of Buffett's departure is significant, with market participants questioning the future of Berkshire's capital deployment and deal-making prowess [5][6][7] Future Outlook - The potential for Berkshire to become a value trap exists unless its post-Buffett strategy is equally visionary, especially as market sentiment shifts towards high-growth tech and AI-centric investments [9] - The ongoing performance gap raises questions about whether this is a temporary adjustment or a more permanent structural re-rating of Berkshire's market position [7][9]
We asked Warren Buffett gurus whether his exit is what's bringing Berkshire Hathaway's stock down
Business Insider· 2025-07-13 09:00
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential decline of the "Buffett premium" associated with Berkshire Hathaway as Warren Buffett prepares to step down as CEO, raising questions about the company's future valuation and investor confidence [1][2][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Reaction - Berkshire Hathaway's stock was up 19% year-to-date before Buffett's announcement of his retirement, while the S&P 500 index was down 3% [2]. - Following the announcement, Berkshire's stock fell 11%, contrasting with a 10% rise in the S&P 500 [2]. Group 2: Perspectives on the "Buffett Premium" - Some analysts believe the "Buffett premium" exists but is difficult to quantify, suggesting that fewer businesses may be willing to sell to a Berkshire without Buffett's leadership [4][10]. - Others argue that the premium may have diminished since Buffett's early years, with one analyst stating it has not existed since 1998 [12][15]. - The stock's recent decline is attributed to broader market trends rather than solely the loss of Buffett's presence, with some analysts asserting that the company has matured and requires less oversight from Buffett [13][16]. Group 3: Future Leadership and Company Outlook - Greg Abel is set to succeed Buffett as CEO, and while some analysts express confidence in his leadership, they acknowledge that Buffett's unique contributions are irreplaceable [17][18]. - Analysts note that Buffett's legacy includes building a company capable of thriving post-retirement, although they recognize that his absence may impact investor sentiment [17][18].