📺 Our latest video looks at how crowd instincts are repeatedly creating bull and bear traps. Watch our analysis on Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana, Sui, and ZCash now! 👇https://t.co/oy6ZDibzYe https://t.co/3Clt2e4ZjH ...

Markets are often most convincing when risk is quietly shifting. Breakouts attract attention, reinforce prevailing narratives, and draw in incremental capital. But when those breakouts fail, especially within expanding volatility structures, they tend to reveal something more important than continuation: who is actually in control of liquidity.That is where the Nasdaq (NASDAQ:NDAQ) complex finds itself now.Despite a still-intact bullish weekly trend in the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) and Nasdaq-100 (NDX), recen ...

Market Analysis - The industry should learn how to spot bull and bear traps [1]

Market Analysis & Risk Management - Crypto market includes bull and bear traps designed to lure traders before sharp reversals [1] - Traders should watch for weak volume, sudden funding spikes, and lack of confirmation on higher timeframes to avoid traps [1] Trading Strategies - Not every pump or dump in the crypto market is genuine [1]

Core Viewpoint - The broader market is experiencing significant growth, but transportation stocks are lagging behind, which raises concerns about potential underlying issues in the sector [1] Industry Summary - The transportation sector is not keeping pace with the overall market performance, indicating a potential disconnect that could signal future challenges [1]

Market Analysis & Prediction - The report anticipates a significant market correction in September, triggered by the FED's rate cut, unlike the insignificant cut in September 2024 [2] - The analysis points to Bitcoin's bearish chart patterns, including a CME gap around 93 thousand, liquidity concentration in the 90-95 thousand region, and the need to retest the EMA50 weekly, suggesting a correction towards the 93-95 thousand range [3] - The report highlights bearish divergences on daily and weekly Bitcoin charts, reinforcing the expectation of a correction [3] - The author expects ETH to run to 7-8 thousand and Bitcoin to push toward 145-150 thousand after the September correction [5] Retail Investor Behavior - On-chain metrics indicate retail investors typically buy high and sell low, exemplified by their late entry between 110-120 thousand after the June dip from 110 thousand to 98 thousand was largely bought by big players [4] - The market needs to flush out retail investors who entered heavily at high levels, driving prices down to their liquidation zone of 90-95 thousand before the next upward movement [4] - The current market sentiment is described as a "fake bullish sentiment" fueled by euphoria, endless expectations, and blind trust in authority, which is considered a bull trap [4] Trading Strategy - The author has been taking daily profits of 10% from ETH and BTC holdings since August 18th, rolling it into building a short position within a defined "short area" [5] - The author's strategy involves accumulating shorts and distributing spot holdings within the mentioned short area, focusing solely on BTC and excluding ETH or other altcoins [5] - The author's current portfolio allocation is 60% Cash + Shorts and 40% Spot bags, with a daily shift of 10% from Spot into Shorts, using x5 leverage [5]

Crypto Market Rally Drivers - Short squeezes, driven by traders betting against price increases, can push crypto prices higher unexpectedly, especially short-term [4] - Long liquidations, the reverse of short squeezes, occur when traders betting on price increases are forced to sell, driving prices down [5] - Monitoring short squeeze liquidations on platforms like Coin Glass can indicate if a rally is leverage-driven [6] - Genuine rallies break through resistance levels, while false rallies are rejected [8] - Whales may intentionally trigger short squeezes to create FOMO and liquidate short positions [10] Macro and Crypto Conditions - Bullish macro conditions are indicated by rising major stock indices like the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 (Rut) [14][15] - Lower 10-year Treasury yields are bullish, while higher yields are bearish [17] - A falling US dollar (DXY) indicates increased global liquidity, which is generally positive for crypto, with a few months lag [18][19] - Bitcoin (BTC) uptrends are a simple proxy for bullish crypto conditions [22] - Ethereum (ETH) uptrends, especially relative to BTC (ETH/BTC chart), indicate increasing risk appetite among crypto investors and potential capital rotation into altcoins [23][24][25] Rally Sustainability and Rotation - The more spot crypto ETFs get approved, the easier it is for macro liquidity to find its way into the crypto market [30] - Overextended long leverage makes the market vulnerable to dips and whale-triggered liquidations [28] - Bearish macro or crypto catalysts can trigger long liquidations and end rallies [29] - Capital rotation between Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoins is often leverage-driven, restricting supply and amplifying price movements [41][42][43][44] - Liquidity can move freely between different crypto niches resulting in a sort of rolling rotation rather than a sequential rotation [46][47][48]

Core Insights - The article provides a perspective on stock analysis and investment opportunities based on the author's experience and insights [1]. Group 1 - The analyst expresses a beneficial long position in GOOG shares, indicating confidence in the company's future performance [2]. - The analysis aims to offer contrasting views on investment portfolios, highlighting the importance of diverse perspectives in stock evaluation [1]. - The article emphasizes the necessity for investors to conduct personal research and due diligence before making investment decisions [3].

Market Sentiment - The market might be a bull trap [1] - Remaining cautious is advised [1]