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美国经济 2026:劳动力市场展望-五大值得关注的行业-US Economic Weekly 2026 labor market outlook_ five sectors to watch
2026-02-11 15:40
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Labor Market Outlook for 2026**: The labor market is expected to experience mixed conditions across five key sectors, influenced by tighter immigration policies and economic factors such as trade uncertainty and fiscal stimulus [1][14][53]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Job Growth Projections**: Average job growth is forecasted at 50,000 per month in 2026, with a breakeven job growth rate lowered to approximately 20,000 due to immigration restrictions [15][53]. - **Unemployment Rate**: The unemployment rate is anticipated to stabilize at 4.5% through the first half of 2026, with a slight decrease to 4.3% by year-end [15][53]. - **Sector Performance**: - **Positive Outlook**: - **Education & Health**: This sector is expected to continue driving job growth, adding over 100% of net job gains in 2025, with a projected addition of about 60,000 jobs per month [21][24][26]. - **Construction**: Anticipated recovery due to easing mortgage rates and reduced tariff uncertainty, with a rebound in both residential and non-residential construction [30][31]. - **Trade, Transport & Utilities**: Expected improvement in job growth as import recovery aligns with stronger consumer demand and economic growth [40][41]. - **Negative Outlook**: - **Professional & Business Services**: This sector is facing job losses due to AI adoption, which is automating lower-wage roles while maintaining wage growth for specialized positions [32][34]. - **Neutral Outlook**: - **Leisure & Hospitality**: Job growth is expected to be offset by tighter immigration policies despite potential improvements in consumer demand due to fiscal stimulus [36][38]. Additional Important Insights - **Inflation Trends**: Inflation is projected to remain above the Federal Reserve's target, driven by supply-side pressures from tariffs, with core PCE inflation expected to end 2026 at 2.9% [52]. - **Economic Growth Forecast**: The average GDP growth forecast for 2026 is set at 2.8%, above the consensus of 2.1%, driven by fiscal and monetary policy adjustments [51]. - **Labor Market Risks**: The labor market is facing risks from immigration restrictions and AI-driven job displacement, which could impact job growth and sector stability [53]. Conclusion The labor market outlook for 2026 presents a complex picture with varying sector performances influenced by immigration policies, economic recovery, and technological advancements. The overall sentiment indicates cautious optimism, particularly in sectors like education and health, while challenges persist in professional services due to automation.
U.S. Stocks Move Mostly Higher After Initial Pullback
RTTNews· 2026-02-09 15:54
After moving to the downside early in the session, stocks have moved mostly higher over the course of the trading day on Monday. The major averages have climbed well off their lows of the session and into positive territory, with the Dow reaching a record intraday high.Currently, the major averages are just off their highs of the session. The Nasdaq is up 137.73 points or 0.6 percent at 23,168.95, the S&P 500 is up 24.93 points or 0.4 percent at 6,957.23 and the Dow is up 42.42 points or 0.1 percent at 50, ...
Swvl Secures a New Up to $1.5 Million Multi-Year Contract in Saudi Arabia, Expanding Its Healthcare Mobility Footprint Across the GCC
Globenewswire· 2026-02-09 12:00
DUBAI, United Arab Emirates, Feb. 09, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Swvl Holdings Corp (“Swvl” or the “Company”) (Nasdaq: SWVL), a leading provider of technology-enabled mass mobility solutions, today announced the signing of a new three-year contract valued at up to $1.5 million in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (“KSA”), marking a significant expansion of its healthcare mobility operations across the Gulf Cooperation Council (“GCC”). The agreement will support patient, medical staff, and equipment transportation a ...
Are tips taxable? Here's how the new 'no tax on tips' deduction works.
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-06 19:39
For millions of service workers, the promise of “no tax on tips” sounds like a straight boost to your paycheck. But the reality is more nuanced than the slogan popularized by President Trump suggests. This new federal income tax deduction comes with strict income caps, reporting rules, and eligibility requirements. With the 2026 filing season in full swing, here’s everything you need to know about the new tax rule. What does 'no tax on tips' actually mean? Technically speaking, "no tax on tips" is a fe ...
Howmet Aerospace to Host Technology and Markets Day on March 10, 2026
Prnewswire· 2026-02-06 13:00
PITTSBURGH, Feb. 6, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Howmet Aerospace Inc. (NYSE: HWM) announced today that it will host a Technology and Markets Day investor presentation on Tuesday, March 10, 2026, 8:00 AM to 10:30 AM ET. A detailed agenda and live webcast of the event will be available in the "Events and Presentations" section of howmet.com/investors. About Howmet Aerospace Howmet Aerospace Inc., headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, is a leading global provider of advanced engineered solutions for the aerospa ...
Werner (WERN) Reports Q4 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say
ZACKS· 2026-02-06 02:30
Core Viewpoint - Werner Enterprises reported a decline in revenue and earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter ended December 2025, indicating potential challenges in its operational performance and market expectations [1]. Financial Performance - Revenue for the quarter was $737.64 million, down 2.3% year-over-year, and below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $770.01 million, resulting in a surprise of -4.2% [1]. - EPS was reported at $0.05, a decrease from $0.08 in the same quarter last year, reflecting a significant EPS surprise of -45.18% against the consensus estimate of $0.09 [1]. Key Metrics - The operating ratio was reported at 104.9%, significantly higher than the estimated 97.3% by analysts [4]. - Truckload Transportation Services had an operating ratio of 106.4%, compared to the average estimate of 97.1% [4]. - Average trucks in service for Dedicated services were 4,954, exceeding the estimate of 4,851 [4]. - The average percentage of empty miles for One-Way Truckload was 16.2%, slightly above the estimate of 15.7% [4]. - Year-over-year revenue change for One-Way Truckload per total mile was -0.1%, contrasting with the estimated increase of 1.4% [4]. Revenue Breakdown - Werner Logistics generated revenues of $207.54 million, below the average estimate of $232.35 million, marking a -2.6% year-over-year change [4]. - Truckload Transportation Services reported trucking fuel surcharge revenues of $57.4 million, slightly below the estimate of $57.65 million, with a year-over-year change of -0.3% [4]. - Total revenues for Truckload Transportation Services were $512.64 million, compared to the average estimate of $520.65 million, reflecting a -2.8% year-over-year decline [4]. - Non-trucking and other revenues in Truckload Transportation Services were $7.77 million, significantly lower than the estimate of $9.8 million, representing a -29.5% year-over-year change [4]. - Net trucking revenues, excluding fuel surcharge, were $447.47 million, below the estimate of $453.19 million, indicating a -2.5% year-over-year change [4]. - Dedicated trucking revenues net of fuel surcharge were $291.62 million, slightly below the estimate of $296.88 million, showing a +1% year-over-year increase [4]. - One-Way Truckload trucking revenues net of fuel surcharge were $155.85 million, slightly above the estimate of $154.76 million, but represented an -8.3% year-over-year decline [4]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Werner have returned +17.3%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.5% change [3]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), suggesting potential underperformance relative to the broader market in the near term [3].
Layoffs in January reach recession-era levels
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-05 23:17
It's the first week of February, and most Americans have recovered from the holiday hangover and stopped mistakenly writing the year 2025 in dates. While we are ready to turn the page on a rollercoaster 2025 and move on to 2026, some of the negative economic trends from last year appear to be spilling over into the new year. U.S.-based employers announced 71,321 job cuts in November, according to outplacement consultancy firm Challenger, Gray, & Christmas. The number for November 2025 was 24% higher th ...
US Companies Announce Most January Job Cuts Since 2009
Youtube· 2026-02-05 14:42
The Challenger report is out and it is a pretty dismal one. 108,435 job cuts announced in the month of January. That is the highest January total since 2009.As far as the numbers go, it's up 205% from December. There were 5306 employers announcing hiring plans, and that is the lowest January total since 2009 as well. So some particularly bad news on the Challenger front.We don't usually talk about it, but sometimes lately when Challenger has come out, we've seen big market moves on the pessimism about what ...
These hot S&P 500 stocks show where investors are heading as they run away from tech
MarketWatch· 2026-02-04 18:37
The industrials sector has been a big beneficiary of the rotation out of tech, with a number of defense and transportation stocks hitting new highs on Wednesday. ...
Hennessy Capital Investment(HCICU) - Prospectus(update)
2026-02-02 22:27
As filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission on February 2, 2026. Registration No. 333-291924 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 Amendment No. 1 to FORM S-1 REGISTRATION STATEMENT UNDER THE SECURITIES ACT OF 1933 Hennessy Capital Investment Corp. VIII (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Cayman Islands 6770 98-1872964 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) (Primary Standard Industrial Classification Code Num ...