Summary of NatWest Group Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: NatWest Group - **Industry**: Banking and Financial Services Key Points Economic Environment - The economic backdrop is characterized by cautious optimism despite volatility in budget news and a slight increase in unemployment to 5% from 4.7%[2][3] - Wage growth remains high, contributing to strong consumer confidence, particularly in retail deposits and mortgage markets[4][5] Financial Performance - NatWest's stock has performed well, trading at 7.5 times P/E and 1.3 times book value, with a return on tangible equity (ROTE) of nearly 19%[2] - The bank has upgraded its income guidance to approximately GBP 16.3 billion for the year, with expectations of ROTE exceeding 18%[10] Lending and Deposits - The bank has seen over 4% compound growth in lending over the past seven years, with a current market share of 12.6% in mortgages and 11% in unsecured credit[13][19] - The mortgage market has grown from GBP 240 billion to GBP 285 billion year-on-year, indicating strong consumer movement and confidence[18] - Retail deposit growth is supported by a saving rate of over 10%, with competitive pricing in the market[22][23] Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income has been bolstered by strong customer activity, particularly in foreign exchange (FX) and capital markets, benefiting from market volatility[9][29] - The structural hedge is expected to provide an additional GBP 1 billion in incremental net interest income (NII) next year[12] Market Share and Competition - NatWest holds a 25% market share in corporate deposits and nearly 20% in corporate lending, with a 6% growth in the corporate lending book year-to-date[27] - The bank is aware of increasing competition from fintechs and neobanks, which have improved customer service across the industry[61][62] Wealth Management - Assets under management (AUM) in the private banking and wealth management segment have increased by 15% to GBP 56 billion, with a target of achieving a cost-to-income ratio in the mid-60s and ROTE above 20% by 2027[34][35] - The bank aims to enhance its wealth management services by leveraging its existing customer base and improving referral systems[36][37] Capital Management - NatWest's capital target range is currently set at 13%-14%, with ongoing discussions about potential adjustments in light of regulatory changes and capital requirements[46][50] - The bank has increased its dividend payout ratio to 50%, indicating a strong commitment to returning capital to shareholders while maintaining flexibility for growth investments[52][53] Cost Management - Cost growth is projected to be around 2% this year, with a focus on maintaining cost discipline and driving operating leverage across all business segments[54][55] - Significant investments in technology, including AI and data management, are expected to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency[56][57] Regulatory Environment - The bank supports strong regulation but has expressed concerns about overregulation in certain areas, advocating for a balanced approach that fosters growth while ensuring stability[63][64] - Anticipation of upcoming regulatory reviews and potential changes in capital requirements is a key focus for the bank[49][50] Future Outlook - NatWest remains cautiously optimistic about growth prospects, driven by strong consumer confidence and strategic investments in technology and customer service[67] - The bank is committed to exploring inorganic growth opportunities in the wealth management sector while focusing on organic growth strategies[38][42] This summary encapsulates the key insights and data points from the NatWest Group conference call, highlighting the company's performance, market position, and strategic outlook.