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AVGO Stock To $700 Amid Google Partnership?
Forbesยท 2025-11-25 10:20
Core Viewpoint - Broadcom's stock has surged 11% due to its partnership with Google on AI chips and the launch of Gemini 3, with the stock price more than doubling over the past year, currently around $380, raising questions about future growth potential [2][18] Financial Performance - Broadcom has approximately $60 billion in trailing revenue, with an adjusted net margin exceeding 50% and a GAAP net margin of 32%, indicating strong profitability [3] - If revenue reaches $120 billion by 2028, driven by AI chips and VMware subscriptions, adjusted EPS could increase from around $6.29 to over $12, suggesting a near-doubling of earnings [4] Valuation Insights - The stock is currently trading at over 60 times its trailing earnings, reflecting Broadcom's strong market position; if EPS reaches $12, this could translate to a stock price of $720, with potential for further increases if the AI narrative gains momentum [5][18] AI Chip Market Dynamics - The success of Gemini 3 serves as a validation signal for AI models transitioning to large-scale production, increasing demand for Broadcom's custom TPU chips [6] - Inference has become the growth engine for AI, with Broadcom leading in providing custom silicon and networking solutions optimized for high-volume, power-efficient tasks [7] Customer Base and Competitive Landscape - Broadcom has four confirmed hyperscale customers, including Google and Meta, which will require continuous advancements in AI chip technology [8][9] - The company is well-positioned as hyperscalers expand their AI services, with significant technical barriers making it difficult for customers to switch suppliers [8] Networking Infrastructure - Broadcom's networking solutions, such as Tomahawk Ultra switches, are essential for connecting AI accelerators, providing a competitive edge in the market [10][11] VMware's Role - VMware offers a stable, recurring revenue stream that complements Broadcom's AI growth, with a 17% year-over-year growth to $6.8 billion in Q3, transitioning customers to subscription models [12][13] - This diversification reduces risk associated with reliance on AI chip demand alone, allowing Broadcom to weather fluctuations in the semiconductor market [14] Future Growth Potential - If Broadcom successfully expands its AI customer base and enhances VMware's recurring revenue, the stock could realistically double, with potential for even higher valuations if AI infrastructure spending exceeds expectations [17][18]