Corporate America has a lot worries, including tariffs, inflation and consumer demand. A recession isn’t one of them. https://t.co/HK2fV75JRw ...

Business Performance - Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings experienced a stock surge following earnings, indicating positive market reaction [1][2] - The company faced a challenging April due to tariff announcements and macro uncertainties [2][3] - Booking pace and consumer demand have been strong, with record months in May, June, and July [3] Market Trends and Consumer Behavior - There's a shift in consumer demand towards shorter and closer-to-home itineraries [6] - The Caribbean is gaining popularity as a destination compared to Europe [5] - Cruising is considered a good value, approximately 30% less expensive than a typical hotel stay [9] Growth and Investment - The cruise industry's growth is limited to 5% per year due to shipyard capacity [12] - Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings has 13 ships on order over the next 10-11 years, representing about 4% annual growth [11][12] - Investments are being made in destinations like Great Stirrup Cay, including water parks and adult-only beach clubs, to enhance the customer experience [5][6][7]

Welcome back. Getting some clarity perhaps for alcohol producers in the US and Europe today following the news of the EU trade deal. But the group overall moving lower.Brandon Gomez has been tracking the impact on that industry for us. Brandon, what do we know. >> Hey.Yeah, good morning David. A breath of relief, but no cheers yet. European wine and spirits makers treading carefully, finding themselves left out of the EU trade deal.Now, that 15% tariff on EU imports to the US better than the 30% feared. But ...

I want to ask you to explain what's happening with Coles, but I want to talk about some of the brands that you have under your management, because tariffs are the talk of the town and you think about retailers getting hit really on both sides. Here you have consumer demand and you also have raw input costs. So what are you seeing when you look at some of your portfolio companies.Yeah, it's interesting. So as we're looking at the environment right now, as you mentioned, there's certainly, you know, there is ...

Retail Sales Performance - U S Census Bureau报告显示，4月至6月零售额经季节性调整后同比增长4.1% [1] - 消费者需求表现出乎意料的强劲 [1]

Core Insights - Procter & Gamble (P&G) has raised its quarterly dividend to $1.0568 per share, up from $1.0065, despite a 5% decline in its stock year-to-date compared to a 7% rise in the S&P 500, primarily due to a revised fiscal year outlook reflecting a slowdown in consumer demand [2][11] - The current valuation of P&G stock appears reasonable, with potential for appreciation despite minor concerns [2][11] - P&G's operational performance and financial stability remain solid, although revenue growth has been weak in recent years [3][5][7] Growth - P&G has experienced an average growth rate of 1.8% in its top line over the last three years, compared to a 5.5% increase for the S&P 500 [7] - Revenues have declined by 0.2% from $84 billion to $84 billion in the past 12 months, against a growth of 5.5% for the S&P 500 [7] - Quarterly revenues dropped by 2.1% to $20 billion in the most recent quarter from $20 billion a year prior, while the S&P 500 saw a 4.8% increase [7] Profitability - P&G's profit margins are around the average level for companies within the Trefis coverage universe, with an operating income of $20 billion reflecting a moderate operating margin of 23.8% [6] - The company's net income amounted to $15 billion, resulting in a high net income margin of 18.5%, compared to 11.6% for the S&P 500 [13] Financial Stability - P&G's balance sheet appears sound, with total debt of $34 billion and a market capitalization of $370 billion, leading to a strong debt-to-equity ratio of 9.1% compared to 19.4% for the S&P 500 [13] - Cash and cash equivalents constitute $9.1 billion of the $123 billion in total assets, resulting in a moderate cash-to-assets ratio of 7.4% [13] Downturn Resilience - P&G stock has shown slightly better performance than the S&P 500 during recent downturns, with a peak-to-trough decline of 24.3% compared to 25.4% for the S&P 500 from April 2022 to October 2022 [9][13] - The stock fully recovered to its pre-crisis peak by May 2024 and has since risen to approximately $160 [13] Overall Assessment - P&G's performance across critical factors is strong, with a current valuation suggesting a potential upside of 15% from its current position [11][10]

Financial Performance - Constellation Brands' fiscal first-quarter results fell short of analysts' expectations [1] Market Trends - Weak consumer demand was cited by the beverage giant's CEO [1]

China's Economic Slowdown - China Beige Book data indicates a broad slowdown in China's economy, with declines in manufacturing, consumption, and bank borrowing [3] - May data initially appeared positive due to tariff reductions and consumer trade-in programs, but subsequent data revealed a fall-off [2][3] Beijing's Policy Stance - Beijing seems less concerned about the economic situation and is intervening less aggressively than before [4] - This reduced concern is attributed to Beijing's confidence in its leverage in trade discussions with the United States [4] - China is easing rates and engaging in fiscal stimulus, but not to the extent that would be expected in an extreme downside scenario [5][6] Trade War Dynamics - China is perceived to be able to withstand more economic pain compared to Western democracies [8] - China is using export controls, particularly on rare earth magnets, to demonstrate leverage against the United States [8] - China feels it has presented a strong front in the trade war, reducing the immediate need for aggressive economic measures [9] Consumption and Manufacturing - Claims of China transforming into a mega consumer powerhouse are viewed skeptically [10][11] - China's weak domestic demand leads to increased exports and potential dumping of products on global markets [13][14] - Overcapacity in various sectors, including cars and EVs, contributes to the pressure to export [17] Overcapacity and Export Strategy - China's economic model, characterized by weak domestic consumption and strong supply-side support, results in overcapacity being channeled to the global market [17] - This overcapacity can be used strategically to exert leverage on adversaries like the United States, particularly in critical minerals [16]

Jeff Harmening, General Mills CEO, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss consumer demand challenges, economic uncertainty and earnings. ...

Josh Weinstein, Carnival Corporation CEO, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss consumer demand, summer travel and the stock. ...