The annual inflation rate in the US held steady at 2.4% in February 2026, unchanged from January, in line with expectations and remaining at its lowest level since May 2025. On a monthly basis, core CPI increased by 0.2%, less than 0.3% in the previous month. https://t.co/sJ6bqNDlrG ...

The annual inflation rate in the US held steady at 2.4% in February 2026, unchanged from January, in line with expectations and remaining at its lowest level since May 2025. On a monthly basis, core CPI increased by 0.2%, less than 0.3% in the previous month. ...

Core Inflation Data - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) headline rose by 0.2%, resulting in an annual rate of 2.4%, down from 2.7% in December [1] - Core CPI increased by 0.3%, which is higher than the January figure of 0.2%, but aligns with market forecasts, showing a year-over-year increase of 2.5%, down from 2.6% in December [2] Food and Energy Prices - Food prices rose by 0.2% during the month, a significant decrease from the 0.7% increase observed in December [3] - Gasoline prices decreased by 3.2%, contributing to the softer CPI numbers, while used car prices fell by 1.8% [3] - New car prices saw a slight increase of 0.1%, and apparel prices remained unchanged with a 0.3% increase, similar to the previous month [3]

🚨BULLISH: U.S. INFLATION DROPS TO 2.4%, BELOW EXPECTATIONSInflation came in below forecasts across the board, the first meaningful cooldown in months.CPI dropped to 2.4% YoY, beating the 2.5% expectation and down sharply from December's 2.7%Core CPI (ex-food & energy) hit 2.5% YoY; matching estimates and edging lower from the prior 2.6% ...

Core Economic Indicators - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, a major gauge of inflation in the U.S. economy, will be published on February 13 at 8:30 a.m., which could significantly impact asset prices [1] - Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, rose 2.6% year over year in December, marking a four-year low, with expectations for January to show a further decline to 2.45% [3] Market Reactions and Predictions - A positive CPI report indicating lower inflation could lead to a significant rise in the stock market, driven by investor hopes for additional Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [3][4] - The futures market currently anticipates two additional quarter percentage point cuts to the Fed's target interest rate in 2026, which could be influenced by the upcoming CPI data [4] Consumer Spending Trends - Consumer spending has slowed, with the top 10% of income earners accounting for nearly half of all consumer spending in the U.S., raising concerns about sustainability until inflation cools [6] - The issue of "affordability" has become prominent, affecting middle-class Americans' spending habits [6] Tariff Impacts on Inflation - Investor concerns regarding the Trump administration's tariffs on imports and their potential inflationary effects have diminished, as recent data has not shown significant tariff-driven inflation [9] - The upcoming CPI report could provide further evidence that tariffs are not as damaging to inflation as previously feared, especially if it shows continued moderation [9]

Market Sentiment - The CNN Money Fear and Greed index showed a decline in overall market sentiment, remaining in the "Greed" zone with a current reading of 56.3, down from 58.6 [1][4] - U.S. stocks settled lower, with the Dow Jones index falling almost 400 points during the session, closing at 49,191.99 [1][3] Economic Indicators - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.7% year over year in December, matching prior readings and economist estimates, while core CPI came in at 2.6% year over year, slightly below expectations [1] Company Earnings - JPMorgan Chase & Co. shares fell more than 4% despite beating earnings estimates, as investors were concerned about weaker investment-banking fees and cautious commentary on loan growth [2] - Delta Air Lines Inc. shares slid over 2% after issuing soft forward guidance, citing cost pressures and normalization in post-pandemic travel demand [2] Sector Performance - Most sectors on the S&P 500 closed positively, with energy, consumer staples, and real estate stocks recording the biggest gains, while consumer discretionary and financial stocks closed lower [3]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the U.S. economic indicators, particularly the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and new home sales, which are critical for assessing inflation and economic growth trends. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **CPI and Core CPI Performance**: - December core CPI rose by 0.24% month-over-month, which was below expectations, with a year-over-year rate of 2.64% [6][9] - Key components such as airfares (+5.2%), hotels (+3.5%), and apparel (+0.6%) showed significant rebounds after previous distortions due to shutdowns [6][8] - The rent and owners' equivalent rent components also rebounded, indicating a return to normal inflation rates after methodological adjustments [6][7] 2. **Sector Contributions**: - The communications category declined by 1.9%, contributing -7 basis points to the core CPI, while household furnishings and operations fell by 0.5%, contributing -3 basis points [6] - Notably, the software category rose by 7%, which has a significant weight in the core PCE [8] 3. **PCE Price Index Estimates**: - The core PCE price index is estimated to have risen by 0.37% in December, leading to a year-over-year rate of +2.85% [9] - The headline PCE price index is also expected to have increased by 0.37% in December, reflecting a 2.74% increase from the previous year [9] 4. **New Home Sales Data**: - New home sales increased by 1.8% month-over-month for October, reaching a seasonally adjusted annualized level of 737,000 units, which was above expectations [10] - Sales in August were revised down to 711,000 units, indicating a stronger performance in September and October than previously anticipated [10] 5. **GDP Tracking Adjustments**: - The stronger-than-expected single-family home sales led to an upward revision of the Q4 GDP tracking estimate by 0.1 percentage points to +2.2% (quarter-over-quarter annualized) [11] - The domestic final sales estimate for Q4 stands at +0.9% [11] Additional Important Information - The report emphasizes that investors should consider these economic indicators as part of a broader analysis when making investment decisions [3] - The data reflects ongoing adjustments in the housing market and inflation trends, which are crucial for understanding the economic landscape [6][10][11]

Core Insights - U.S. inflation data met expectations, leading to a brief surge in bitcoin prices above $92,000 [1][2] - The consumer price index (CPI) increased by 2.7% year over year in December, consistent with November's figures and economists' predictions [1] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 2.6%, slightly below the forecast of 2.7% [1] Inflation Metrics - Month-over-month headline inflation was reported at 0.3%, aligning with consensus expectations [2] - Core inflation increased by 0.2% month-over-month [2] Market Reactions - Bitcoin experienced a price jump to $92,500 before settling at $91,830, reflecting a 1.1% increase over the past 24 hours [2] - U.S. stock index futures rose approximately 0.3% following the inflation report [2] - The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield decreased to 4.175% from over 4.19% prior to the data release [2] Federal Reserve Expectations - Market participants indicated a 95% probability that the Federal Reserve would maintain interest rates at its January meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool [3]

Core Insights - The December consumer price index (CPI) increased at an annual rate of 2.7%, aligning with economists' expectations [1] - The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose at an annual rate of 2.6%, falling short of the expected 2.7% [1]

Core Insights - US inflation unexpectedly cooled in November, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising 2.7% over the past 12 months, down from 3% in September and below the expected 3.1% increase [1][3] - The Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, increased by 2.6%, significantly lower than the anticipated 3% rise [3] - The November inflation report did not include monthly figures due to the cancellation of the October report caused by a government shutdown that disrupted data collection [3] Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the third time this year in response to price pressures, despite facing a weakening labor market [4] - Fed Chairman Jerome Powell cautioned that upcoming economic data may be distorted due to the government shutdown and should be interpreted with skepticism [4]