Jan 15 (Reuters) - European corporate earnings are set to decline in the fourth quarter, the latest forecasts showed on ​Thursday, as geopolitical uncertainty mounts and the market awaits ‌a decision from the U.S. Supreme Court on the legality of President Donald ‌Trump's tariffs. European firms are expected to report a 4.1% drop in 2025 fourth-quarter earnings, on average, according to LSEG I/B/E/S data, worse than the 3.9% decrease analysts expected a week ago. That would be ⁠the worst earnings perfor ...

Key Takeaways S&P 500 Q4 earnings are seen up 7.9%, marking a 10th straight quarter of growth.Tech remains the biggest driver, making XLK a top play into Q4 and 2026.Strong growth in Aerospace and Finance highlights ITA and VFH as earnings winners.The Q4 earnings season is off to a full-fledged start this week.  Big banks like Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs and Citigroup are expected to come up with earnings results this week. Corporate earnings expectations have strengthened over recent quarte ...

Anastasia Amoroso, Partners Group chief investment strategist of private wealth, says corporate earnings could rise close to 12%. Speaking on "Bloomberg Open Interest," Amoroso also says the Federal Reserve has scope to cut interest rates and discusses the outperformance of precious metals. ...

Jan 2 (Reuters) - U.S. equity funds drew strong inflows for a second straight week in the week to December 31 ​as investors cheered solid annual gains from an AI-driven rally ‌and ended the year on an optimistic note over the outlook for corporate earnings. According ‌to LSEG Lipper data, U.S. equity funds attracted approximately $16.89 billion worth of inflows during the week, adding to the $18.3 billion weekly net investments in the previous week. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) gained 16.39% last year, the Nasda ...

Macro Economic Insights - The yield on the 10-year Treasury reached 4% first, briefly dipping below 4% to a 52-week low of 3.88% in April before fluctuating around 4.15% later in the year [2][3] - The Federal Reserve's stance on interest rate cuts remains uncertain, with a lack of consensus among committee members regarding the number of necessary cuts [4] Labor Market Analysis - The labor market has weakened significantly, with job additions dropping from over 100,000 per month in early 2025 to an average of 17,000 from June to November, including negative job growth in June, August, and October [5] - The unemployment rate increased from 4% in January to 4.6% in November, indicating a deterioration in labor market conditions [5][6] Stock Market Performance - The NASDAQ indices rose over 21% for the year, with the S&P 500 up nearly 17% and the Dow up 14%, reflecting a positive impact from the Trump administration despite initial market pullbacks due to tariff concerns [7][8] - The market rebounded quickly after the president postponed most tariffs, leading to a gradual rise throughout the year [8][10] Corporate Earnings Outlook - Initial expectations for S&P 500 earnings growth were around 12% for 2025, but the final tally for 2024 earnings is projected to be slightly lower at 10% [12][13] - Earnings expectations for 2025 have improved, now projected to be nearly 14% growth, surpassing earlier estimates [16][17] - The overall earnings growth outlook has gradually improved over the past year, which is crucial for sustaining market gains [18]

Economic Indicators - US MBA mortgage applications fell by 12.7% in the week ended September 26, with the purchase mortgage sub-index down by 1.0% and the refinancing sub-index down by 20.6% [1] - The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased by 12 basis points to 6.46% from 6.34% in the prior week [1] - The US September ISM manufacturing index rose by 0.4 to a 7-month high of 49.1, exceeding expectations of 49.0 [6] - The September ISM price paid sub-index fell by 1.8 to an 8-month low of 61.9, below expectations of 62.7 [6] - The September ADP employment change unexpectedly declined by 32,000, marking the largest decline in 2.5 years, while August was revised lower to a loss of 3,000 from a previously reported gain of 54,000 [5] Market Performance - Stock indexes showed mixed results, with the S&P 500 Index down by 0.08%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index up by 0.06%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index down by 0.02% [5] - The broader market faced pressure due to the US government shutdown, leading to a decline in the dollar index and a rise in gold prices to a record high [4] - Rising corporate earnings expectations are seen as a bullish backdrop for stocks, with over 22% of S&P 500 companies providing guidance for Q3 earnings that are expected to beat analysts' expectations [8] Sector Movements - Pharmaceutical stocks rallied, driven by hopes that Pfizer's deal with the US government will pave the way for other pharmaceutical makers, with Moderna up by over 8% and AstraZeneca up by over 7% [19] - Weakness in medical device makers negatively impacted the overall market, with Insulet down more than 6% and Dexcom down more than 5% [15] - Chip makers and AI-infrastructure stocks saw gains, with Micron Technology up more than 5% and ARM Holdings up more than 4% [20] Company-Specific News - Corteva announced plans to split its seed and pesticide businesses into separate companies, leading to a decline of over 5% in its stock [16] - Nike reported Q1 revenue of $11.72 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $11.02 billion, resulting in a stock increase of over 5% [22] - AES Corp saw a significant increase of over 16% following news of BlackRock's Global Infrastructure Partners LP being in advanced talks to acquire the company [17]

Group 1 - The article highlights the significant macroeconomic factors affecting investors, particularly the introduction of high reciprocal import duties set to take effect on August 7 [1] - It notes that Q2 corporate earnings growth is a positive aspect amidst the current economic landscape [1] Group 2 - The content emphasizes the importance of analyzing various asset classes, including stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, and cryptocurrencies, in the context of macro drivers [1] - It discusses the role of empirical data and charts in creating engaging narratives around financial information [1]