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稳定币与人民币国际化?一场持久战-Stablecoins and RMB Internationalization A Long Game
2025-07-19 14:57
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry and Company Involved - **Industry**: Financial Services, specifically focusing on Stablecoins and RMB Internationalization - **Company**: Morgan Stanley Asia Limited Core Points and Arguments 1. **PBoC's Plan for RMB**: The People's Bank of China (PBoC) aims to facilitate the opening-up and internationalization of the RMB in a multipolar monetary world [4][5] 2. **Financial Measures in Shanghai**: Eight new financial measures were introduced to strengthen financial infrastructure, enhance Shanghai's role as a financial center, and promote offshore RMB-denominated bond issuance [5][7] 3. **Stablecoins Regulation**: The Hong Kong Stablecoins Bill is set to take effect on August 1, 2025, allowing specified entities to issue stablecoins under strict regulations, including maintaining reserves and public disclosures [8][9] 4. **Market Dynamics**: USD-pegged stablecoins dominate the market, with over $120 billion backed by US Treasury bills, indicating a strong demand for US treasuries [11][12] 5. **RMB's Share in Global FX Reserves**: The share of RMB in global foreign exchange reserves has decreased from 2.84% in Q1 2022 to 2.18% in Q4 2024, highlighting challenges in RMB internationalization [18][19] 6. **Digital Yuan Initiatives**: The establishment of a Digital Yuan International Operations Center in Shanghai is planned to expand the global reach of the RMB [16] 7. **Crypto Market Growth**: The total crypto market cap reached $3.4 trillion by June 2025, showing significant growth from under $2 trillion at the beginning of 2024 [26] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. **RMB Cross-Border Settlement Roadmap**: A detailed timeline of initiatives related to the digital yuan and cross-border settlement systems was provided, indicating ongoing efforts to enhance RMB's global presence [15] 2. **Investor Concerns**: Increased investor concerns over China's economic challenges were noted, which may impact the overall sentiment towards RMB internationalization [21] 3. **Reflation Strategy**: A "5R" reflation strategy was discussed, focusing on fiscal measures and structural reforms to stimulate the economy, with a projected GDP widening of 1.6 percentage points by the end of 2025 [25] 4. **Regulatory Framework for Crypto**: Ongoing efforts to establish a regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies in Hong Kong were highlighted, indicating a proactive approach to managing the crypto market [30] This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call, focusing on the financial measures, regulatory developments, and market dynamics surrounding stablecoins and RMB internationalization.