The Senate Banking Committee is reportedly planning to hold its confirmation hearing for Federal Reserve Chair nominee Kevin Warsh as soon as the week of April 13, 2026, according to a Sunday report from Punchbowl News citing two sources familiar with the committee’s scheduling. The timing remains contingent on Kevin Warsh completing and submitting all required disclosure paperwork to the committee – a procedural prerequisite that sources described as the primary variable keeping the date fluid. The White ...

Core Insights - Bitcoin experienced a 2.3% decrease, trading around $69,170, influenced by geopolitical tensions and conflicting reports regarding Iran's willingness to negotiate peace [2][3] - The overall cryptocurrency market saw declines, with Ethereum down 4.4% to $2,070 and Solana down 5% to $86, pushing all three cryptocurrencies into negative territory for the week [2] - The S&P 500 fell 1.7%, the Nasdaq dropped over 2.3%, and the Dow Jones industrial average decreased by 470 points, reflecting a broader market decline [3] Geopolitical Context - U.S. President Trump indicated that peace talks with Iran are progressing, while also emphasizing the urgency for Iran to engage seriously in negotiations to end the ongoing conflict [4] - A 15-point framework for a peace deal was presented by the U.S. to Iran through Pakistan, although Iran's foreign minister stated there is currently "no intention of negotiating" [5] Market Reactions - Bitcoin remains above $63,200, its lowest price since the conflict began, but the crypto market reflects ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, with a noted demand for downside hedging among investors [6] - Capital flows indicate a defensive behavior among market participants, with increased investments in yield-bearing stablecoins and liquid staking tokens, suggesting a focus on capital preservation amid macroeconomic uncertainty [6] - Brent crude oil futures rose by 5% to $107 per barrel, indicating a reaction to geopolitical developments [6]

Standard Chartered stands out as the highest credible institutional forecast at $28, and they maintained that 2030 target even after cutting their 2026 XRP price prediction from $8 to $2.80 during the current downturn. The gap between a $5 and a $28 XRP outlook comes down to how much of the global payments market Ripple actually captures and how large the overall crypto market grows by then.One ex-Goldman Sachs analyst, Dom Kwok, even called for $1,000—a figure that would require a market cap larger than th ...

Group 1 - Bitcoin rose more than 5% to a high of $71,794 following US President Trump's announcement of talks with Iran, which raised hopes for easing conflict [1] - Bitcoin had previously fluctuated around a two-week low, dropping to $67,371, its lowest since March 9, amid volatility due to the Iran conflict [2] - The crypto market sentiment appears less severe compared to late February, indicating a potential stabilization [3] Group 2 - The initial rise in Bitcoin was linked to Trump's decision to delay strikes on Iranian energy facilities, contributing to a broader rally in risk assets, including a 1.5% gain in the S&P 500 [4] - Analysts suggest that a de-escalation in the Middle East could stabilize markets, leading to oil price stabilization and improved risk sentiment [5] - Iran's parliament speaker dismissed Trump's claims about negotiations as "fake news," indicating ongoing tensions despite the US's optimistic outlook [5]

Core Insights - Bitcoin has recently shown resilience, recovering to around $70,000 after a significant bear market that began in October of the previous year, with indications that the market may have bottomed in early February [2][3][4] - The recovery has been supported by inflows from ETFs, increased on-chain activity, and improved options positioning, suggesting a healthy market rebound [4][6] - There has been a notable demand for short positions in perpetual futures markets, indicating a contrarian view that the market may have been overly negative [5][7] Market Dynamics - The market's recovery to $76,000 was partly driven by liquidations of short contracts, suggesting a recalibration of market positions [7] - Capital flight from the Middle East, particularly the UAE, has contributed to a rotation into Bitcoin as investors seek opportunities in a depressed market [8][10] - The recent guidance from the SEC and CFTC on cryptocurrency regulations has shifted the focus from tokens to transactions, clarifying that most cryptocurrencies do not fall under the securities category [12][13][14] Regulatory Developments - The Clarity Act remains stalled in the Senate, but new interpretations of federal laws by the SEC and CFTC provide a positive outlook for the crypto market [12][13] - The new framework categorizes cryptocurrencies into digital commodities, digital collectibles, utility tokens, and payment stable coins, with only tokens tied to profit expectations considered digital securities [14][15][16]

The crypto market is still cooking right now. We are still hovering around $2 and a half trillion dollar. And while we are waiting for the next big move here, we do have a very big day ahead of us because yes, we do have FOMC day.Now, I have been talking about this. I have been addressing it as well. Um, it's definitely going to be an important one to listen into.Not for the actual rate cut decision because I don't think that we're going to get a rate cut. I think that we get a pause, but I do believe that ...

Summary of Futu Holdings (FUTU) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Futu Holdings (FUTU) - **Market Cap**: $20.9 billion - **Current Price**: $149.63 - **Target Price**: $208.55 - **Upside Potential**: 39.4% [1][2] Key Financial Projections - **Revenue Growth**: Forecasted at 42% year-over-year (yoy) for 4Q25 and 31% yoy for 1Q26 [1][17] - **Profit Growth**: Expected at 48% yoy for 4Q25 and 35% yoy for 1Q26 [1][17] - **Client Acquisition**: Anticipated growth of paying clients by 41% yoy in 4Q25 and 35% yoy in 1Q26, translating to 277k and 206k new paying clients respectively [1][17] - **Total Assets Under Management (AUM)**: Projected growth of 77% yoy in 4Q25 and 62% yoy in 1Q26 [1][18] Market Conditions and Impact - **Market Volatility**: Despite concerns over volatility in the crypto market and tech stocks due to AI disruption, FUTU is expected to maintain stable performance [1][36] - **Crypto Exposure**: FUTU does not hold digital assets, and crypto contributes less than 1% to AUM/revenue, minimizing the impact of crypto market fluctuations [1][30] - **AI Disruption**: Short-term negative impact expected due to client exposure to tech stocks, but long-term benefits anticipated as FUTU leverages AI for business enhancement [1][36] Revenue and Profit Estimates - **Revenue Estimates**: Slightly revised down by 1% for 2025-2027 to account for market pullback, with new estimates of HK$ 22,560 million for 2025 and HK$ 25,159 million for 2026 [2][39] - **Net Income**: Expected to reach HK$ 10,697.7 million in 2025 and HK$ 11,898.8 million in 2026 [5][15] Key Focus Areas for Upcoming Earnings - **Client Growth Guidance**: Insights on new paying client growth and AUM growth for 2026 [3][40] - **Market Expansion Plans**: Updates on expansion into new markets [3][40] - **Crypto Business Updates**: Progress on VATP license and crypto business developments [3][40] Risks and Considerations - **Downside Risks**: Potential risks include lower-than-expected client growth, AUM growth, trading volume, and unexpected market losses [41][41] Conclusion - **Investment Recommendation**: Maintain Buy rating with a target price of $208.55, reflecting a favorable risk-reward profile based on stable fundamentals and growth potential [2][39]

🌍 HOT TOPIC: War is moving every chartOil is climbing, the dollar is strengthening, and risk assets are under pressure. At the same time, millions in crypto have flowed out of regional exchanges amid rising tensions.What happens next for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market?Drop your view and join the debate 👇https://t.co/lM3P7QRqvf ...

Core Insights - The ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly the Iran conflict, have led to significant market volatility, with a notable shift from traditional safe-haven assets like gold to cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum [1][2][5]. Market Reactions - Gold and silver experienced a dramatic decline, with gold dropping 2.05% and losing approximately $750 billion in market value, while silver plunged 7%, erasing around $370 billion [2][3]. - In contrast, Bitcoin surged above $69,000, gaining 5% and adding an estimated $60 billion to its market capitalization, while Ethereum increased by 5.8%, contributing an additional $23 billion [3][5]. Capital Rotation - The crypto market saw a rapid influx of capital, with a total of $100 billion added in a short time frame, indicating a significant shift in investor sentiment away from gold [5]. - This rotation was unexpected, as historical trends typically show gold outperforming during geopolitical crises [5]. Derivatives and Market Structure - Initial market reactions led to approximately $300 million in crypto liquidations, but derivatives data indicated a resilient market structure with limited speculative excess [6]. - Funding rates were low, sitting in the 6th percentile, and open interest only declined by about $1 billion, suggesting that leverage had been largely removed prior to the geopolitical escalation [6]. Historical Context - Previous tensions in the Middle East resulted in more chaotic price movements, whereas Bitcoin's response this time was more stable, indicating a potential maturation of the crypto market [7].

Group 1: Market Overview - Several altcoins are entering the first week of March with notable catalysts that could drive short-term volatility and trading opportunities [1] - Technical indicators are signaling rising capital inflows in some cases, while broader macro and geopolitical factors continue to shape overall market direction [1] Group 2: Polygon (POL) - Polygon is preparing for the Lisovo Hardfork on March 4, which will introduce smart contract improvements and enhanced wallet support [2] - The Money Flow Index indicates rising capital inflows, suggesting improving investor confidence, with potential price movement above $0.109 resistance and targeting $0.120 [3] - Rising geopolitical tensions could negatively impact altcoins, with potential corrections below $0.104 support and further drops toward $0.099 invalidating the bullish outlook [6] Group 3: Chiliz (CHZ) - CHZ is currently trading at $0.033, remaining below the $0.034 resistance level, and is sensitive to broader macro market cues [7] - Chiliz announced that its Fan Token revenue protocol will fund $CHZ buybacks and burns starting in the first week of March, which could expand utility and support price increases [8] - Persistent bearish macro conditions may derail recovery efforts, with a recent Death Cross signaling weakening trend momentum and potential price drops below $0.032 and $0.030 [9] Group 4: Hyperliquid (HYPE) - HYPE is trading at $30, maintaining above a month-long uptrend support line, with the Chaikin Money Flow indicator showing strengthening inflows [10]