Benzinga and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue on some items through the links below. Influential crypto traders Trader Mayne and DonAlt maintain a cautious, bearish-to-neutral stance on Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC), warning that a sharp V-shaped recovery is unlikely. ‘Slow, Grinding' Correction Ahead In their latest podcast, both analysts said they expect a prolonged, choppy correction rather than an immediate rebound. Broader macro risks, particularly potential weakness in equities, could add f ...

The US Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs are seeing sustained outflows as investors rotate capital into international equities. Both crypto ETFs have seen only 2 weeks of positive inflows so far in 2026. The shift comes amid rising Treasury yields, a resilient US labor market, and record inflows into global ex-US stock funds. Money is Shifting to International ETF Markets Over the past several weeks, US spot Bitcoin ETFs have moved into clear net outflow territory. Total assets have dropped sharply from re ...

Core Viewpoint - Standard Chartered predicts a final wave of selling pressure in the crypto market, with Bitcoin potentially dropping to $50,000 and Ethereum to $1,400 before a broader recovery occurs [2][3]. Group 1: Price Predictions - Bitcoin is expected to decline to around $50,000, while Ethereum may fall to approximately $1,400 in the coming months [2][3]. - The bank's revised end-of-year forecasts are $100,000 for Bitcoin and $4,000 for Ethereum, significantly lower than previous targets of $150,000 and $7,500 respectively [4]. Group 2: Market Conditions - The near-term outlook for digital assets is challenging due to macroeconomic headwinds and weakening ETF flows, with a potential capitulation period expected [3][6]. - The US economy is showing signs of softening, but markets do not anticipate imminent rate cuts until a new Fed chair takes over in June [6]. Group 3: Investor Behavior - There has been a notable decline in digital asset ETF holdings, with the average Bitcoin ETF holding down about 25%, leading to a shift in investor behavior towards selling rather than buying the dip [7].

Uh, meantime, we're going to talk a little crypto because the crypto market seeing its fair share of volatility over the past month. Our Mackenzie uh, Sagalas is here. She joins us with a look at the trading action.Where's our Bitcoin this morning. I mean, >> 68 lower. >> 68.We're still under 70. >> Yeah. >> What do you think's happening.>> So, Ethereum dropping below 2,000 as well in early European trading. Bitcoin has now roundted all the way back to where it was the day before Donald Trump was reelected. ...

Core Insights - Crypto markets are nearing critical inflection points after a period of decline, with Bitcoin recently stabilizing around $76,100 after dropping to approximately $73,000, below the estimated average U.S. spot bitcoin ETF entry price of $81,600 [1][2] Market Dynamics - ETF inflows, a significant source of new demand, have decreased substantially, while futures markets are experiencing long liquidations [2] - Bitcoin has not mirrored the recent strength of precious metals like gold, which has rallied due to geopolitical risks and macroeconomic uncertainty, indicating Bitcoin's sensitivity to liquidity conditions rather than being viewed as a safe haven [3] Regulatory Environment - Regulation is identified as a key potential catalyst for market movement, but progress on a U.S. digital asset market structure bill has been slow, with ongoing Senate negotiations facing delays and mixed political support, negatively impacting market sentiment [4] Macro Risks - Concerns regarding a shrinking Federal Reserve balance sheet are highlighted, as this historically reduces bank liquidity and could weigh on crypto markets [5] - While fears of a prolonged crypto winter are increasing, it is noted that this remains a tail risk rather than the base case scenario [5] Market Positioning - With average ETF holders currently underwater and Bitcoin approaching the $70,000 level it held before the U.S. presidential election, markets are nearing decisive levels that could influence near-term direction [6]

Market Overview - Bitcoin's bear market is perceived as severe, with analysts indicating that potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and crypto-specific regulatory breaks are necessary to reverse the trend [1][5] - The current trading price of Bitcoin is $76,000, significantly lower than its peak, and if it falls below $60,000, it may trigger aggressive buying from investors who previously hesitated [4][5] Behavioral Influences - The previous bull market lacked the typical retail and institutional enthusiasm seen in prior years, with spot ETFs attracting billions primarily through arbitrage rather than genuine bullish sentiment [2] - Investors may have been influenced by Bitcoin's price point of $100,000, leading to a perception of it being overpriced compared to traditional tech stocks, which reflects the anchoring bias [3][2] - Regret aversion may drive investors to buy Bitcoin aggressively if it drops significantly, as they fear missing out on future gains after previously sitting out [4] Market Dynamics - The crypto market has shown signs of stabilization, with Bitcoin recovering from lows near $73,000, while other cryptocurrencies like Ether, Solana, and XRP have also seen increases, albeit overshadowed by gains in smaller tokens [5] - Onchain data indicates that profit-taking by long-term holders has slowed, but there remains a risk of further selloff if the Nasdaq 100 continues to decline and Treasury yields rise [6]

Core Insights - The Truflation index, a real-time blockchain-based tracker, has dropped below 1% for the first time since early 2021, indicating significant disinflation [1][2] - The current Truflation reading shows consumer price inflation at 0.86% year-over-year, well below the Federal Reserve's 2% target [3] - Predictions suggest potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which could positively impact liquidity-sensitive assets like Bitcoin [2][4] Group 1: Inflation Trends - The Truflation index has decreased from 2.67% since mid-December, contrasting with the official government reading that remains 700 basis points above the Fed's target [1][2] - Analysts, including Cathie Wood from Ark Invest, suggest that inflation could turn negative, opposing forecasts from firms like BlackRock and PIMCO [3] Group 2: Cryptocurrency Market Response - Bitcoin is currently trading around $78,000, approximately 38% below its record price of $126,000 from early October, with some smaller tokens showing recovery [2][5] - The CoinDesk 80 Index has gained 2% over 24 hours, indicating a slight recovery in the crypto market [5] Group 3: Future Outlook - Institutional adoption and the use of stablecoins for cross-border settlements are expected to enhance the depth and interoperability of the crypto market [6] - Over time, these developments may reinforce Bitcoin's characteristics as a hedge against debasement, even if the market has not fully priced this narrative yet [7]

Market Sentiment - The current state of the crypto market shows that only the brave are buying Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, with retail traders largely exiting and observing from the sidelines [1] - Confidence in the market is recovering as Bitcoin's price bounced back after a sharp sell-off, with prices not sinking below $74,000 providing some optimism for bulls [3] Price Movements - Bitcoin's price is being closely monitored, with the last trading levels similar to those in mid-2025, and the trading community does not expect immediate triggers for price changes in the short term [2] - The Bitcoin price fell below $75,000, approaching historical support levels, which could have caused significant pain for traders if the trend continued [4] Liquidations and Market Pressure - A significant part of the recent sell-off was attributed to forced liquidations, with nearly $2.5 billion liquidated in the last five days, including a spike of over $1.68 billion on January 31 due to leveraged long unwinding [5] Monetary Policy and Geopolitical Factors - The nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair indicates a potential shift to a more hawkish monetary policy, raising concerns among investors about the end of an era of cheap money, which could negatively impact crypto [6] - Increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Iran, are causing jitters, leading capital to flow from risky assets like crypto into safer instruments such as the USD and Treasuries [7] Trader Sentiment - Despite the Bitcoin price crashing for the fourth consecutive month, some traders remain defiant and believe that bulls are preparing to push prices higher [8]

Market Overview - Wall Street is expected to experience another decline, with Nasdaq 100 futures down 0.8%, S&P 500 futures down 0.5%, and Dow futures down 0.2% [3] - Spot gold prices have decreased by 3.6% to $4,710, following a nearly 10% drop on Friday when prices fell below $5,000 per ounce [3] - Silver prices are down 4% at $81 [3] Government Shutdown - A partial government shutdown began early Saturday, despite the Senate passing a funding package. House Speaker Mike Johnson expressed confidence that the shutdown will end by Tuesday [4] Oil Market - Oil prices have dropped over 5%, marking the largest single-session decline in over six months, following President Trump's comments indicating potential de-escalation in talks with Iran [5] - Brent crude and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude are both down in the 5% range, retreating from multi-month highs [5][6] Cryptocurrency Market - Bitcoin briefly fell below support but recovered to around $75,000, with over $850 million in bullish bets liquidated in a few hours, totaling nearly $2.5 billion in losses [7][8] - The crypto market experienced forced selling, with $510 million in leveraged positions wiped out, primarily affecting long trades [9]

Crypto Market Overview - The crypto market faced a significant sell-off over the weekend, resulting in a drop of $290 billion in market capitalization, with Bitcoin (BTC) falling to $74,674 and Ethereum (ETH) to $2,164, although both have since recovered by approximately 1% [1] - The market-wide futures open interest (OI) decreased to $108.94 billion, the lowest level since April, indicating a growing aversion to leveraged bets [5] - Over $800 million in leveraged positions were force-closed by exchanges within 24 hours, primarily affecting bullish long positions [5] Equity and Commodities Market - U.S. equities are experiencing declines in pre-market trading, with S&P 500 index futures down 0.58% and Nasdaq 100 futures down 0.85% [2] - Gold and silver prices have decreased by about 3.5% since midnight after reaching record highs last week [2] Derivatives and Trading Strategies - On the CME, Bitcoin futures opened lower at $77,730, following the weekend's price drop, with potential for a bounce above $80,000 [5] - The popularity of the $75,000 put option has increased, indicating downside fears among traders, alongside significant open interest in other put options at $80,000 and $70,000 [5] - A demand for ether put butterfly strategies has emerged, suggesting traders are anticipating market consolidation after recent volatility [5] Altcoin Market Dynamics - The altcoin market experienced a wave of liquidations, with over $300 million in ether positions forcibly closed in the past 24 hours [5] - Privacy coin DASH has lost 25% of its value over the past week, while other tokens like OP, SUI, ETH, and XTZ have also seen declines exceeding 20% [5] - HyperLiquid's HYPE token is an outlier, having increased by over 40% in the past week, attributed to significant trading volume in precious metals markets [5] Market Liquidity Conditions - Low liquidity in altcoin markets has led to exaggerated price movements due to insufficient resting orders on the order book, resulting in larger swings in both directions [6]